2024 Cy Young Odds: Tarik Skubal Putting Injury-Riddled Past Behind Him

Health was Tarik Skubal's biggest roadblock for years. Now he's seemingly found it as well as another gear on the mound, dominating all comers. He's the betting favorite to win the AL Cy Young and could be very tough to beat.

Apr 30, 2024 • 12:25 ET • 7 min read
Tarik Skubal detroit Tigers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The top of the odds board for the AL and NL Cy Young races is starting to get crowded. 

MLB odds are constantly reacting to news and performance, and players like Tarik Skubal, Bryce Miller, and Max Fried have all recently improved their stock.

Let's see how the Cy Young odds are shaking out in both leagues.

Odds to win AL Cy Young award 2024

Player DraftKings FanDuel bet365 Caesars
Tigers Tarik Skubal +300 +300 +350 +300
Orioles Corbin Burnes +400 +350 +400 +375
Royals Cole Ragans +900 +2,100 +2,500 +1,400
Twins Pablo Lopez +1,100 +1,600 +1,400 +800
Mariners Logan Gilbert +1,500 +2,000 +2,000 +1,400
Orioles Grayson Rodriguez +1,500 +2,000 +1,400 +1,800
Twins Joe Ryan +1,800 +2,000 +1,800 +1,900
Angels Reid Detmers +1,800 +2,500 +2,200 +2,000
Mariners Luis Castillo +2,000 +2,000 +2,500 +2,000
Mariners George Kirby +2,200 +2,500 +2,000 +2,500
Red Sox Tanner Houck +2,500 +3,000 +3,000 +2,800
Blue Jays Jose Berrios +2,500 +3,000 +1,800 +2,000
Mariners Bryce Miller +2,500 +3,500 +3,500 +2,800
Blue Jays Kevin Gausman +3,000 +3,500 +4,000 +4,000
Yankees Carlos Rodon +3,000 +5,000 +5,000 +3,500
Yankees Gerrit Cole +3,000 +20,000 +20,000 +3,500

Odds as of 4-30-24.

AL Cy Young odds analysis

4/30/2024: We haven't spent enough time on Detroit Tigers lefty Tarik Skubal in this space. The fact is Skubal has been one of baseball's best pitchers since returning from injury last summer. Through six starts this season, Skubal is 4-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.74 WHIP with 41 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings. He's allowed more than two earned runs in just one outing (against the Oakland Athletics of all teams) and has been generally dominant. He was second on the odds board until this week, leaping Baltimore Orioles ace Corbin Burnes.

The Seattle Mariners have four starters listed in the Top 15, but it's Bryce Miller who has looked the most impressive early and he's drawing the longest odds to win the Cy Young at 35/1. His BABIP is very low and his FIP screams regression but if you watched his most recent start, he's clearly got something working. He was perfect through five innings against the Atlanta Braves, had a no-hitter through six, and only surrendered the lead because Ronald Acuna Jr. stole two bases after reaching on a bloop hit. Miller struck out a season-high 10 batters and walked only one.

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Odds to win NL Cy Young award 2024

Player DraftKings FanDuel bet365 Caesars
Phillies Zack Wheeler  +400 +300 +400 +350
Dodgers Tyler Glasnow +600 +500 +450 +475
Brewers Freddy Peralta +700 +1,000 +1,000 +850
Giants Logan Webb +800 +1,000 +900 +950
Diamondbacks Zac Gallen +900 +2,400 +1,600 +1,800
Padres Dylan Cease  +1,000 +1,200 +1,200 +1,100
Cardinals Sonny Gray   +1,200 +1,600 +1,600 +1,600
Phillies Ranger Suarez +1,200 +1,400 +1,400 +1,300
Phillies Aaron Nola +1,800 +2,100 +2,200 +2,000
Braves Max Fried +2,000 +3,900 +5,000 +4,000
Cubs Shota Imanaga +2,000 +2,000 +1,600 +1,800
Giants Jordan Hicks +2,500 +4,500 +5,000 +3,500
Braves Chris Sale +3,000 +4,500 +5,000 +2,800
Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto  +3,500 +2,400 +2,800 +2,500
Padres Yu Darvish +4,000 +9,000 +12,500 +6,000
Pirates Mitch Keller +4,000 +10,000 +12,500 +6,000
 Reds Hunter Greene +4,000 +6,500 +8,000 +4,000

Odds as of 4-30-24.

NL Cy Young analysis

4/30/24: The top of the board has seen minimal movement apart from Freddy Peralta dropping down a couple of notches after getting shelled for the first time this season, allowing five runs on five hits and a whopping five walks to the Pirates. Zack Wheeler continues to be a model of consistency while Tyler Glasnow looks like he might have more longevity than ever before (though it might be too early to make that call).

In the AL section, I looked at Bryce Miller's outstanding performance against the Atlanta Braves. Well, he was never in line to win that game because Max Fried nearly matched him pitch for pitch. Fried issued a pair of walks over six scoreless innings while not allowing a single hit. That marks two consecutive scoreless outings for the southpaw as he has seemingly righted the ship after a disastrous start to the season. Some books have already shortened his odds but others haven't been as quick to react with 50/1 still available.

Previous Cy Young Award winners

Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL Cy Young Award, with Cleveland and the New York Mets each leading the way with three. Overall, the Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers have the most Cy Youngs all time (12), followed by the Milwaukee/Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox, and Mets with seven.

Previous AL Cy Young winners

Year American League Winner
2023 Yankees Gerrit Cole
2022 Astros Justin Verlander
2021 Blue Jays Robbie Ray
2020 Guardians Shane Bieber
2019 Astros Justin Verlander
2018 Rays Blake Snell
2017 Guardians Corey Kluber
2016 Red Sox Rick Porcello
2015 Astros Dallas Keuchel
2014 Guardians Corey Kluber
2013 Tigers Max Scherzer

Previous NL Cy Young winners

Year National League Winner
2023 Padres Blake Snell
2022 MarlinsSandy Alcantara
2021 Brewers Corbin Burnes
2020 Reds Trevor Bauer
2019 Mets Jacob deGrom
2018 Mets Jacob deGrom 
2017 Nationals Max Scherzer
2016 Nationals Max Scherzer
2015 Cubs Jake Arrieta
2014 Dodgers Clayton Kershaw
2013 Dodgers Clayton Kershaw

Pitchers with multiple Cy Young awards

There are 22 pitchers who have won multiple Cy Young Awards, led by Roger Clemens' seven trophies. Of those 22 winners, six are still currently active in the Majors.

Pitcher Number of Cy Young Awards (Years)
Roger Clemens 7 (1986, 1987, 1991, 1997, 1998, 2001, 2004)
Randy Johnson 5 (1995, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002)
Steve Carlton 4 (1972, 1977, 1980, 1982
Greg Maddux 4 (1992, 1993, 1994, 1995)
Seven different pitchers 3
11 different pitchers 2

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MLB Cy Young odds explained

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Shane Bieber looked to have the AL Cy Young locked up in 2020, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number.

  • Shane Bieber -300

That means that a bettor in September had to wager $300 to win $100 by betting on Bieber. Before this year's race even began, every candidate had a (+) sign in front of their number.

  • Jacob deGrom +550

With deGrom's preseason odds, a bettor stands to profit $550 for every $100 wagered on him.

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.

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MLB Cy Young Odds

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