Rutgers vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Senior Night holds extra weight in East Lansing, where the Green and White faithful celebrate Jaxon Kohler. Michigan State's senior forward has the green light from deep against Rutgers tonight.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Mar 5, 2026 • 11:15 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 7 hrs
RUTG
56 %
MSU
44 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jaxon Kohler o1.5  3 Point FG (+110) Jaxon Kohler o1.5 3 Point FG (+110)
Read Analysis
Michigan State Spartans Jaxon Kohler NCAAM
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Michigan State Spartans forward Jaxon Kohler in college hoops action.

There won’t be a dry eye in East Lansing when the Michigan State Spartans celebrate Senior Night before taking on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.

One player getting a special send-off from the Breslin Center faithful is senior forward Jaxon Kohler, who’s played all four years for Tom Izzo — a rarity in today’s transfer-heavy NCAA.

My Rutgers vs. Michigan State predictions believe Kohler has the green light from beyond the arc tonight, with my college basketball picks taking the Over on his 3-point production for Thursday, March 5.

Rutgers vs Michigan State prediction

Rutgers vs Michigan State best bet: Jaxon Kohler Over 1.5 threes (+110)

The Michigan State Spartans made a conscious effort to get Jaxon Kohler going against Indiana, leading to three triples. He’ll get plenty of touches tonight, facing a Rutgers Scarlett Knights team ranking among the worst in 3-point defense.

Kohler's recent shooting skid is still anchoring the price on the Over 1.5, offering plus-money value. 

Rutgers' defense plays passive on the perimeter and allows foes to connect at 36.6% from beyond the arc. Before Big Ten play, he was shooting 50% from 3-point range.

Kohler’s projections lean toward two 3-pointers with a bump due to Senior Night.

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Rutgers vs Michigan State same-game parlay

January, February, Izzo. Tom Izzo always has his program peaking at the perfect time, riding a two-game win streak into Senior Night. Game projections have MSU winning by 20+ points over Rutgers.

Jeremy Fears Jr. is the fuel of this MSU attack, dishing out more than nine assists per game. He’ll make sure MSU’s seniors have a big night in their final game at the Breslin Center. Some of his forecasts call for double-digit dimes.

Rutgers vs Michigan State SGP

  • Michigan State -18.5
  • Jaxon Kohler Over 1.5 threes
  • Jeremy Fears Jr. Over 9.5 assists

Our beyond the arc SGP: Cooper exceeds expectations

MSU’s Senior Night is unlike that of many other programs. Carson Cooper is one of those guys with four years in East Lansing, and his scoring projections are at 11+ points tonight.

Rutgers vs Michigan State SGP

  • Michigan State -18.5
  • Jaxon Kohler Over 1.5 3-pointers
  • Jeremy Fears Jr. Over 9.5 assists
  • Carson Cooper Over 9.5 points

Rutgers vs Michigan State odds

  • Spread: Rutgers +18.5 | Michigan State -18.5
  • Moneyline: Rutgers +1550 | Michigan State -4000
  • Over/Under: Over 141.5 | Under 141.5

Rutgers vs Michigan State betting trend to know

Michigan State is 9-5 ATS over the past 14 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Rutgers vs. Michigan State.

How to watch Rutgers vs Michigan State

Location Breslin Center, East Lansing, MI
Date Thursday, March 5, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FS1

Rutgers vs Michigan State key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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