Atlanta @ Los Angeles props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game. Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Mookie Betts generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Mookie Betts will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder today. Extreme groundball bats like James Outman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, James Outman has been unlucky this year. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .259. James Outman has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (90th percentile).

Jarred Kelenic's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Jarred Kelenic has an average exit velocity of 90.8 mph, which is among the best in baseball at the 79th percentile. Jarred Kelenic ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (53.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Teoscar Hernandez has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .254 figure is inflated compared to his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 88th percentile at 95 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's game. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .293 BA is considerably lower than his .326 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Using Statcast metrics, Michael Harris II grades out in the 96th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384.

Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Matt Olson has been unlucky this year, posting a .306 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .362 — a .056 deviation. Based on Statcast data, Matt Olson is in the 96th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .385.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Dodger Stadium has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Marcell Ozuna has recorded a .365 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Marcell Ozuna's 16.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

Ozzie Albies's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Posting a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 75th percentile for offensive ability. Ozzie Albies has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 18° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (95th percentile). With a .358 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Ozzie Albies has performed in the 89th percentile.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Ronald Acuna Jr. has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .325 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .365. Based on Statcast metrics, Ronald Acuna Jr. grades out in the 100th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .463.

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Dodger Stadium has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Riley's true offensive talent to be a .354, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .048 difference between that mark and his actual .306 wOBA. In notching a .362 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Austin Riley has performed in the 90th percentile for hitting ability.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage today. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .208 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Lux has been unlucky given the .100 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

Dodger Stadium has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Orlando Arcia has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .298 mark is quite a bit lower than his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Travis d'Arnaud has been hot lately, putting up a .392 wOBA in the last 14 days. Travis d'Arnaud's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the game since the start of last season: 76th percentile. Travis d'Arnaud ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.9% rate since the start of last season).

Bats such as Andy Pages with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryce Elder who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Andy Pages will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Andy Pages has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .358. Andy Pages is quite toolsy, checking in at the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.34 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Will Smith is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Will Smith usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Dodger Stadium has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Max Muncy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today. Extreme groundball bats like Max Muncy tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Muncy's 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.