Denver 2nd Western Conference57-25
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26

Denver @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
+2200

Rudy Gobert has averaged 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 97th percentile for field goal ability with a superb 65.9% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The clash with Nikola Jokic ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs averaging a colossal 16.4 points per game this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Rudy Gobert has averaged 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 97th percentile for field goal ability with a superb 65.9% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The clash with Nikola Jokic ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs averaging a colossal 16.4 points per game this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
+1700

Anthony Edwards has averaged 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. Anthony Edwards has attempted 6.4 three-point shots per game while at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Anthony Edwards has averaged 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. Anthony Edwards has attempted 6.4 three-point shots per game while at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
+1500

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 90th percentile, registering a massive 20.1 points per game while at home this year. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.1 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 90th percentile, registering a massive 20.1 points per game while at home this year. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.1 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+1700

Mike Conley has sunk 5.1 buckets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this season while on his home court. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% more than he's converted overall this year playing at home.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Mike Conley has sunk 5.1 buckets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this season while on his home court. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% more than he's converted overall this year playing at home.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+300
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+300
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has made 2.1 three-point shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Naz Reid has converted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year on his home court. Naz Reid stands to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Naz Reid

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Naz Reid has made 2.1 three-point shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Naz Reid has converted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year on his home court. Naz Reid stands to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
-104

In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting PGs have posted the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Jamal Murray will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting PGs have posted the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Jamal Murray will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-122

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The matchup against Denver is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (10th-most in the league).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The matchup against Denver is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (10th-most in the league).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The number of threes attempted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (2.3 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The number of threes attempted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (2.3 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson has converted 54.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 18.3% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.2

Reggie Jackson has converted 54.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 18.3% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-147
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-147
Projection Rating

In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year has been the Denver Nuggets. This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goals (3rd-worst in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a hard matchup. The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA). Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year has been the Denver Nuggets. This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goals (3rd-worst in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a hard matchup. The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA). Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-121

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 53.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 11.3% higher than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 85th percentile. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 53.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 11.3% higher than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 85th percentile. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Aaron Gordon has converted 62.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.3% higher than he's converted overall this year while playing away from home. Aaron Gordon has averaged 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Aaron Gordon has converted 62.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.3% higher than he's converted overall this year while playing away from home. Aaron Gordon has averaged 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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