Patriots vs Seahawks   Picks & Props

With a terrific 67.9% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) last year, Sam Darnold places among the most on-target QBs in the league.. With a remarkable 8.14 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) last year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most effective passers in the league.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league vs. the Patriots defense last year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).. Last year, the anemic Patriots defense has allowed the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.. Last year, the stout Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a paltry 6.6 yards.

The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst unit in the league last year in regard to run defense.

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Sam Darnold's ground effectiveness (6.15 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football last year (76th percentile among quarterbacks).

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 11th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 41.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.. Last year, the porous Seattle Seahawks run defense has been gouged for a whopping 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 32nd-largest rate in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 123.7 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.. The Seahawks have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.. Last year, the stout New England Patriots run defense has conceded a feeble 98.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 5th-best in the league.

Last year, the weak New England Patriots pass defense has given up a staggering 86.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 8th-highest rate in the league.. Last year, the shaky Patriots defense has surrendered the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a monstrous 0.00 YAC.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.. Rhamondre Stevenson is positioned as one of the bottom running backs in football at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 3rd percentile.. The Seahawks pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. running backs last year, giving up 5.31 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the league.

The leading projections forecast Jaxon Smith-Njigba to total 10.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.. With an impressive 36.0% Target Share (100th percentile) last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has notched a colossal 109.0 air yards per game last year: 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. With a terrific 85.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (99th percentile) last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.. The Patriots pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.2%) versus wide receivers last year (67.2%).

Last year, the weak New England Patriots defense has allowed a whopping 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 8th-most in the NFL.. The Patriots pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in the NFL.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel last year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.1 per game) last year.. In this game, Hunter Henry is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.7 targets.. Hunter Henry has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 17.6% last year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. In regards to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among TEs last year, averaging an astounding 40.0 per game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.. The projections expect A.J. Brown to be a less important option in his offense's passing attack in this contest (25.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (30.1% in games he has played).. A.J. Brown grades out as one of the weakest WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 1st percentile.. Last year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a paltry 6.7 yards.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.. The projections expect A.J. Brown to be a less important option in his offense's passing attack in this contest (25.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (30.1% in games he has played).. Last year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a measly 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Jaxon Smith-Njigba to total 10.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.. With an impressive 36.0% Target Share (100th percentile) last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is positioned as one of the best wide receivers in the league last year, averaging an outstanding 5.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing an exceptional 75.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 93rd percentile among WRs.. The Patriots pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.2%) versus wide receivers last year (67.2%).

Last year, the weak New England Patriots pass defense has given up a staggering 86.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 8th-highest rate in the league.

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.9%) versus tight ends last year (71.9%).

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 11th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 41.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 123.7 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.. The Seahawks have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.

The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst unit in the league last year in regard to run defense.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

With a terrific 67.9% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) last year, Sam Darnold places among the most on-target QBs in the league.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league vs. the Patriots defense last year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Seattle Seahawks defense last year (66.7% Adjusted Completion%).

The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.65 per game) vs. the Patriots defense last year.

With an extraordinary 26.2% Red Zone Target Rate (96th percentile) last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has notched a colossal 109.0 air yards per game last year: 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 87.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 100th percentile for WRs.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing an exceptional 75.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 93rd percentile among WRs.. With a fantastic ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (95th percentile), Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to wide receivers last year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel last year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.1 per game) last year.. In regards to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among TEs last year, averaging an astounding 40.0 per game.. Hunter Henry's 37.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 86th percentile for tight ends.. Hunter Henry grades out in the 89th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching touchdowns last year, averaging a fantastic 0.35 per game.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel last year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.1 per game) last year.. A.J. Brown has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 27.7% last year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.. A.J. Brown has totaled a staggering 95.0 air yards per game last year: 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. A.J. Brown rates in the 96th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 72.0 figure last year.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league vs. the Patriots defense last year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).. The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.65 per game) vs. the Patriots defense last year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel last year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.1 per game) last year.. When it comes to air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the lofty 99th percentile among RBs last year, totaling a remarkable 11.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).. Rhamondre Stevenson's 17.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 90th percentile for running backs.. Rhamondre Stevenson profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to running backs, catching an outstanding 86.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel last year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.1 per game) last year.. Last year, the tough Seattle Seahawks run defense has given up a paltry 0.53 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.. The Seattle cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the league last year in defending pass-catchers.

Sam Darnold is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for a mere 0.0% of his offense's rush attempts near the goal line last year, putting him in the 2nd percentile among quarterbacks.. With a terrific 67.9% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) last year, Sam Darnold places among the most on-target QBs in the league.. Sam Darnold has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground last year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (2nd percentile).. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league vs. the Patriots defense last year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).. The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.65 per game) vs. the Patriots defense last year.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see only 123.7 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.. Seattle's defense ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year as it relates to forcing interceptions, compiling 0.94 per game.

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 123.7 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.. The Seahawks have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.