Jake Paul and Mike Tyson are facing off in the can’t-miss boxing event of the year on Friday night, and I’ve decided to take a deeper look into the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson odds and delve into the top Paul vs. Tyson props ahead of their showdown in Arlington, TX.
My Paul vs. Tyson predictions tell you why you should be looking for a knockdown early on. Plus, you’ll want to lend an ear as I get into novelty props with my free betting picks for this eagerly anticipated bout on Friday, November 15.
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson props
Prop 1: Mike Tyson to win by KO (+250)
Prop 2: Over 6.5 rounds (-110)
Prop 3: Either fighter to be knocked down in Round 1 (+400)
Prop 4: Mike Tyson to bite Jake Paul’s ear (+10,000)
Click on each prop pick to jump to the full analysis.
Mike Tyson to win by KO
My best bet for the fight, and perhaps the safest, is to bet on Jake Paul straight up. But if you’re going to pick Mike Tyson, then the likeliest path to victory is by knockout.
Power is the last thing to fade in a fighter, and despite all Paul’s work in boxing, he hasn’t faced someone with Tyson’s experience or explosiveness.
Can a 58-year-old Tyson still generate the kind of knockout power that dismantled Michael Spinks and Larry Holmes? Probably not, but those brief bursts of energy represent Tyson’s best chance at victory, and a solid shot from a lifelong heavyweight could prove disastrous for “The Problem Child.”
Tyson will need to land a precise, powerful shot to make this a reality.
Over 6.5 rounds
The fight is scheduled for eight rounds with the Over/Under set at 6.5. If both fighters take a more conservative approach, this could go Over 6.5 rounds and potentially the full distance since the rounds are two minutes instead of three.
In women’s boxing, where some fights are now being contested over three minutes instead of two, we’ve seen that extra minute make a huge difference. This format benefits Tyson, as he won’t need to keep up the pace for the full three minutes, and Paul might struggle to find his rhythm as he tends to come on stronger in the latter parts of a round after feeling his opponent out.
Either fighter to be knocked down in Round 1
For a riskier bet, this prop is a good option. Betting on either Paul or Tyson hitting the deck in the first round offers value at +400, especially since Tyson will likely be at his most effective in the early stages.
On the flip side, “Iron Mike” may not be fully ready for Paul’s early assault as he works to set his legs.
Both fighters may try to land big shots early, which could result in Paul dropping Tyson from early pressure or Tyson sneaking in a shot that buckles Paul’s knees.
Mike Tyson to bite Jake Paul’s ear
Best odds: +10,000
This is a fun prop, as Tyson infamously bit off part of Evander Holyfield’s ear in their 1997 rematch, forever remembered as “The Bite Fight.” The incident became part of Tyson’s legacy, referenced by then-President Bill Clinton, parodied by Robin Williams in his 2003 HBO stand-up special, and countless times since.
To be clear, Tyson is not going to bite Paul’s ear. However, at +10,000, I wouldn’t blame a bettor for having a little bit of an appetite.
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