Argonauts vs Alouettes Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Week 1

The Montreal Alouettes have far fewer question marks on their roster compared to the Toronto Argonauts. Our CFL betting picks see Montreal jumping out to a 1-0 record on Friday night.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jun 5, 2025 • 12:32 ET • 4 min read
Montreal Alouettes CFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Montreal Alouettes players in CFL action

Week 1 in the CFL features a clash between the last two Grey Cup Champions with the Montreal Alouettes hosting the Toronto Argonauts on Friday night. The Als lost to the Argos in the East Final last year, but my Argonauts vs. Alouettes predictions expect them to get a measure of revenge here. 

Check out my best free CFL picks for this East Division clash on June 6, with kickoff from Percival Molson Memorial Stadium coming at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Argonauts vs Alouettes prediction

My Argonauts vs Alouettes pick: Alouettes -4.5 (-120 at BET99)

The Montreal Alouettes had one of the top defenses in the CFL last year, and that unit should be just as stingy this season.

There are questions on the other side of the ball, with 26-year-old Davis Alexander taking over from veteran Cody Fajardo at QB. But Alexander went 4-0 as a starter last year and flashed a big arm along with good decision-making.

Expect him to thrive behind a solid line and with a strong group of receivers at his disposal. 

Meanwhile, the Toronto Argonauts have officially ruled out star QB Chad Kelly for Week 1 as he recovers from a leg injury.

They won the Grey Cup last year with Nick Arbuckle under center, but he's a clear downgrade from Kelly. Arbuckle's track record has been inconsistent, and it doesn't help that Toronto cut RB Ka'Deem Carey last week while letting All-Star OT Dejon Allen leave in free agency. 

I'm even more concerned about Toronto's defense with the Argos losing five key players from a stacked D-line rotation and saying goodbye to two of their best defensive backs. 

The Als outgained the Argos 486-390 in the East Final last year but lost due to five turnovers. Taking better care of the ball will lead to a win and cover in Week 1. 

Argonauts vs Alouettes same-game parlay (SGP)

Alouettes -4.5

Over 47.5

Not only did the Argos cut Carey and backup RB Kevin Brown last week, but the Als also released Walter Fletcher, their own starting RB who had more than 1,400 total yards last year. That could lead to both teams airing it out more than usual and more big plays downfield. 

Toronto's defense should take a major step back after losing seven starters from last year's Grey Cup squad. However, Montreal's defense could also be less dominant than usual in Week 1 due to the absence of All-Star defensive tackle Mustafa Johnson.

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Argonauts vs Alouettes odds

Argonauts vs Alouettes live odds

Argonauts vs Alouettes opening odds

  • Spread: Toronto +4.5 (-115) | Montreal -4.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Toronto +165 | Montreal -200
  • Over/Under: Over 47.5 (-110) | Under 47.5 (-110)

Argonauts vs Alouettes trend

The Over is 6-0 in the last six Toronto games. Find more CFL betting trends for Argonauts vs. Alouettes.

How to watch Argonauts vs Alouettes and game info

Location Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC
Date Friday, 6-6-2025
Kick-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Argonauts vs Alouettes key injuries

Argonauts: Chad Kelly QB (Out), Bryan Cox Jr. DE (Out), Janarion Grant WR/KR (Out).
Alouettes: Mustafa Johnson DT (Out), Joshua Archibald DL (Out), Antonio Moultree DL (Out), Dionté Ruffin HB (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Argonauts vs Alouettes weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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