Touchdown Atlantic will take place in Week 6 of the CFL with the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Toronto Argonauts facing off in Wolfville, Nova Scotia.
Oddsmakers are expecting a close game with CFL betting lines opening the Riders as slim 2.5-point favorites for this clash on neutral ground. Here are our best free Roughriders vs. Argonauts picks and predictions for Saturday, July 16.
Roughriders vs Argonauts odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
Odds for this contest hit the board with the Riders installed as 3-point faves with the total at 44. As of Thursday afternoon, the line has since shortened to -2.5 with the total rising to 46.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until kickoff and be sure to check out the full CFL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Roughriders vs Argonauts Week 6 predictions
Predictions made on 7/14/2022 at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
Roughriders vs Argonauts game info
• Location: Acadia University, Wolfville, NS
• Date: Saturday, July 16, 2022
• Kickoff: 2:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Roughriders at Argonauts betting preview
Weather
The Saturday forecast in Wolfville is calling for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the 80-degree range, with winds gusting around 10 mph and a very slight (10%) chance of rain.
Key injuries
Roughriders: A.C. Leonard DE (Questionable), Pete Robertson DE (Questionable), Garrett Marino DT (Out), Kienan Lafrance RB (Out), Kyran Moore WR (Questionable), Shaq Evans WR (Out), Dan Clark C (Out), Godfrey Onyeka DB (Out), Micah Teitz LB (Out).
Argonauts: Peter Nicastro C (Out), Philip Blake OL (Questionable), Eli Rogers WR (Out), Juwan Brescanin WR (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Argonauts are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games following a bye week. Find more CFL betting trends for Roughriders vs. Argonauts.
Roughriders vs Argonauts picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Spread analysis
The Argos are coming off their second bye week of the year, and in their previous contest had a heartbreaking 23-22 loss to the Blue Bombers. Kicker Boris Bede missed a game-tying conversion with just 25 seconds left on the clock in that contest, but that might have been karma for the Argos' skin-tight victory in their home opener when the Alouettes shanked their own game-tying field goal in the final minute.
In between those two close contests at home, the Argos got absolutely pasted at BC Place in Week 3, losing 44-3 and getting outgained 583-242.
Inconsistency has been an issue for this Argonauts squad, and that problem has been highlighted by the mercurial play of quarterback Mcleod Bethel-Thompson. MBT is just as capable of playing a complete dud as he is throwing for 300 yards.
The Argos offense hasn't really been efficient, although running back Andrew Harris is still one of the best in the business despite being 35 years old. The Argos defense has also failed to live up to its talent level and has generated just five sacks and a pair of interceptions in three games.
The Roughriders are fresh off a 28-13 win against the Redblacks to improve their record to 4-1.
Quarterback Cody Fajardo is a solid veteran, albeit somewhat limited as a downfield passer, but Saskatchewan's biggest strength on offense has been its ground game. Running backs Jamal Morrow and Frankie Hickson have combined for 110.2 rushing yards per game on 6.3 yards per attempt.
Defensively, the Riders have been elite, ranking second in the CFL with 328.8 yards and 19.8 points per game allowed. They're also tied for the most interceptions in the league (8) and their league-leading 23 sacks is a whopping 10 sacks more than second-place Montreal.
That said, Saskatchewan's vaunted pass rush might not be quite so dominant on Saturday. Defensive tackle Garret Marino is suspended following his dirty hit on Ottawa QB Jeremiah Masoli, while ends Pete Robertson and A.C. Leonard are questionable with injuries.
It's tough to see any one area where the Argos have the edge in this matchup. Saskatchewan is better in the trenches, superior in the secondary, and has a more reliable quarterback. The Argos' best player is probably Harris, but the Riders are even better in that area with how incredible that Morrow/Hickson duo has been. We'll back the Riders with that spread sitting under a field goal.
Prediction: Roughriders -2.5 (-105 at bet365)
Over/Under analysis
Under trends abound for both teams, with the Under 10-4 in the Riders' last 14 games and five of the Argos' previous seven contests going below the total.
Saskatchewan has one of the best defenses in the league, and while we're going to keep a close eye on the status of Robertson and Leonard, they have the depth to continue playing well.
Both of these offenses have also been very reliant on their ground games, which should result in a more run-focused and conservative game plan.
Prediction: Under 46 (-110 at SIA)
Best bet
We've only seen the Argos play three games this season so the sample size hasn't been the biggest, but it's tough to see why the line is so close in this contest.
The Argos were blown out against the Lions, didn't look good against the Als, and their best performance of the year was in a loss where they didn't really come alive until the fourth quarter.
The Roughriders seem to have the advantage in virtually every position group and all four of their victories have been in impressive fashion.
With the Riders going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and the Argos covering the spread just once in their previous five contests, I'll gladly lay the points with the faves.
Pick: Roughriders -2.5 (-105 at bet365)
Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s CFL Roughriders vs. Argonauts picks, you could win $27.27 on a $10 bet?
Use our CFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
