NFL Week 7 Injuries, Weather, Consensus, Pros vs Joes & More

With an 80 percent chance of snow in Denver on Sunday, the total for Chiefs-Broncos has slid from 48.5 opening to 43.5.

Patrick Everson • SPORTS BETTING INDUSTRY INSIDER
Oct 25, 2020 • 11:30 ET
Mecole Hardman NFL Kansas City Chiefs
Photo By - USA Today Images

NFL Week 6 is in the rearview mirror, NFL Week 7 odds are on the board, and several betting factors are already in play. That includes the typical injury news, most notably a banged-up Philadelphia Eagles outfit working on a short week, with a Thursday game against the New York Giants.

This week’s NFL Cheat Sheet serves as one-stop shopping for that information and more. Covers checks in on NFL Week 7 injuries, weather, consensus picks, Pros vs Joes and more. Check back throughout the week for NFL injury updates, popular picks, and notable contrasts between sharp bets and public money.

Week 7 Injuries

Tennessee Titans: Left tackle Taylor Lewan, protecting Ryan Tannehill’s blind side, is done for the year after suffering a torn ACL in Sunday’s overtime win against Houston. The SuperBook opened Tennessee +1 at home against Pittsburgh, and that line quickly shot to +2.5 Sunday night. However, the line has since jumped the fence to Titans -1.5, where it stood Friday. The total dropped from 52.5 to 50.5.

San Francisco 49ers: Running back Raheem Mostert has a high ankle sprain and is definitely out against New England, and he’ll likely land on injured reserve and miss a few weeks. Left tackle Trent Williams (ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s game. That said, the 49ers opened +4 at The SuperBook and were at +2.5 Friday night.

Las Vegas RaidersRight tackle Trent Brown went on the reserve/COVID-19 list Wednesday, and as Las Vegas-based ESPN reporter Paul Gutierrez noted Thursday afternoon, the entire starting offensive line and safety Johnathan Abram are sitting out practice under COVID protocols. So, after this game moved from Raiders +3 to +4 earlier in the week, and the total dropped from 53 to 52, the game came off the board at The SuperBook and pretty much everywhere else. For certain, it will not be the Sunday night game, as the NFL already moved it to 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday. All that said, as of Saturday afternoon, there were no new COVID positive tests. The SuperBook reposted the game at Raiders +3.5 and moved to +4.

Cincinnati BengalsRunning back Joe Mixon (foot) is out of Sunday's home game against Cleveland, the Bengals announced Friday. However, the Bengals actually moved from +3.5 to +3 on Thursday night at The SuperBook, and there was no movement off Friday's news.

Cleveland BrownsTight end Austin Hooper is out at least this week after having surgery Friday for appendicitis. That said, there was no movement at The SuperBook, where the Browns remained -3 at Cincinnati.

New Orleans SaintsStar wideout Michael Thomas apparently hurt a hamstring in practice this week and on Friday was officially ruled out. Thomas hasn't played the last four games due to an ankle injury, but with the Saints coming off their bye week, he was fully expected to play Sunday at home against Carolina. Fellow wideout Emmanuel Sanders will miss the game after going on the COVID-19 reserve list Friday. The SuperBook moved the Saints from -7.5 to -7 Thursday afternoon on the expectation that Thomas would sit. As of Friday afternoon, there was no further movement. The total went from 51 to 51.5 early in the week, but dipped to 50 by Friday night.

New York Jets: Quarterback Sam Darnold (shoulder), who hasn't played since Week 4, is set to play Sunday against Buffalo. The SuperBook opened the Jets +10.5, and that line shot to +13, but it was down to +10 Friday night. Wideout Jamison Crowder (groin) is questionable for Sunday's game. The total dropped from 48 to 45, then ticked up to 46 Friday.

Buffalo Bills: Wideout John Brown (knee) and tight end Dawson Knox (calf) are both out for Sunday's game at the New York Jets. After opening -10.5 and stretching to -13, the Bills dipped below the opening number Friday night, to -10 at The SuperBook. The total opened at 48 and fell to 45 before rebounding to 46 Friday.

Dallas CowboysGuard Zack Martin (concussion) is out Sunday at Washington, as cluster injuries continue on the Dallas offensive line. The Cowboys opened -3, and the game was a pick 'em Friday, while the total dropped from 49 to 45.

Green Bay PackersRunning back Aaron Jones (calf) is inactive Sunday against Houston. On Sunday morning, The SuperBook moved from Packers -3.5 to -3.

Philadelphia Eagles: A Wednesday update shows right tackle Lane Johnson (ankle) should be good to go Thursday night against the Giants. DeSean Jackson (hamstring) will play for the first time since Week 3, but fellow wideout Alshon Jeffery (foot/calf) remains out. Tight end Zach Ertz could miss three to four weeks with a high ankle sprain, and running back Miles Sanders (knee) is also expected to sit this week. The Eagles opened 6.5-point favorites Sunday and plummeted to -3.5 Monday at The SuperBook at Westgate.

“The Eagles move was due strictly to injuries,” SuperBook risk manager Cameron Coombs said, noting the total is down a point to 44, as well. “Also, there is buzz over if Carson Wentz is going to start.”

It seems likely Wentz – who took a beating against the Ravens – will play. But as CBS Sports’ Jeff Kerr reported, of the 11 Week 1 starters on offense, by the fourth quarter of Sunday’s loss, there were only two left: Wentz and center Jason Kelce.

With Johnson in the game plan to help protect Wentz, the line on this game ticked up to Eagles -4.5 at The SuperBook, and the total rebounded to 45 Wednesday.

Week 7 Weather

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: A winter storm warning for Denver is calling for 6 to 9 inches Sunday. We're looking at 16 degrees with an 80 percent chance of snow for this 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff, with winds blowing north up to 11 mph. This total opened at 49.5 points and has dropped to 44 as of Sunday morning. Find out how to handicap snow in NFL games here.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football Team:There's a 70 percent chance of rain in the D.C. area Sunday, with light winds (8 mph). The total opened at 49 and was down to 45 as of Sunday morning.

Week 7 Consensus

Week 7 Pros vs Joes

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans: PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said the sharps and public are on opposite sides midweek, and on Wednesday, this line jumped the fence from Steelers -2 to Titans -1. "Sixty-six percent of the money is on the Steelers, though, and 81 percent of the handle, as well," Eichner said. "This game is shaping up to be Pros vs. Joes, with the Pros on the Titans' side and the Joes on the Steelers."

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans SaintsThe Saints moved from -8 to -7 over the course of the week, with the aforementioned injury issues certainly part of the reason. But sharps and the public are on opposite sides here. "We're getting sharp money on the Panthers," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said Friday. "We're getting a lot of parlay money on the Saints spread and moneyline."

 

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