Rams vs Eagles Week 2 picks and predictions

Carson Wentz will get the ball out in a hurry with Aaron Donald breathing down his neck, taking those big plays off the board and keeping the Under likely on Sunday.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Sep 16, 2020 • 08:35 ET
Aaron Donald NFL Los Angeles Rams
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

If Philly sports fans weren’t already a cantankerous bunch, they’re hitting an all-time peak in pissed off after the Philadelphia Eagles’ Week 1 loss to Washington. The Eagles try to douse those flaming jerseys when they host the Los Angeles Rams in Week 2.

Philadelphia blew a 17-0 second-quarter lead and allowed 27 straight points to Washington, falling as 5.5-point road favorites. The Rams, on the other hand, opened their $5 billion stadium with a victory over the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday night. 

These are our favorite NFL free picks and predictions for Rams vs. Eagles on September 20.

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles betting preview

Weather

The forecast for Sunday is calling for sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-60s with winds blowing up to 15 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Rams: Brian Allen C (Out)
Eagles: Alshon Jeffrey WR (Out), Genard Avery DE (Out), Vinny Curry DE (Out)
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Eagles have covered in six straight meetings with the Rams. Find more NFL betting trends for Rams vs. Eagles.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Allowing eight sacks to Washington is not the tone you want to set for your team when next up on the slate is Aaron Donald, the monster in the closet for NFL QBs. 

Carson Wentz took a beating in Week 1 and part of it was his fault, hanging on to the football too long and not recognizing when he could do more bad than good. But it wasn’t all on Wentz, with a comedy of errors and injuries plaguing the Eagles versus Washington.

Not having running back Miles Sanders was one of those issues in Week 1. Philadelphia ran the ball less than any other team last week, handing off on just over 25 percent of its snaps. A more balanced attack is needed to keep L.A.’s pass rush guessing and have any hope with RPOs, and it looks as if Sanders is ready to return for Week 2. Starting left tackle Lane Johnson also appears on track to play, which is huge for the pass protection.

The Rams could be primed for a letdown, coming off a thrilling win in the opening game of SoFi Stadium under the primetime lights, and now traveling across the map to play an early 1 p.m. ET start (10 a.m. PT) in Philly. And with all the COVID protocols, L.A. will have to travel the day before the game and jump through hoops before getting on the field.

The lookahead line for this game had Philadelphia as a 4.5-point home favorite, set back in the spring. However, the true opener hit the board early Monday morning with the Eagles set at -2.5. The early money flooded in on the Rams and has this game as a pick’em as of Wednesday. We’ll push back against the public and take the hungry home team. 

PREDICTION: Philadelphia pick’em (-110)

 

Over/Under pick

The total for this game has also seen some major shakeups when compared to those lookahead lines set in the spring. 

The Over/Under that hit the board in May had 49 points pegged for this Week 2 matchup, but that number was chopped down to 46 with the Monday morning opener and moved lower to 45.5 points with action on the Under.

Neither offense looked fantastic – well, Philadelphia did OK for 20 minutes or so – in Week 1. Los Angeles quarterback Jared Goff was 20 for 31 passing for 275 yards versus Dallas but leaned on the ground game to control tempo and eat clock, dominating TOP behind 153 rushing yards.

The Eagles have to run the ball more than Week 1 (it’s nearly impossible not to), especially with the Rams’ vaunted pass rush and CB Jalen Ramsey looking to feast on a thin Philadelphia receiving corps. Sanders will see his share of action, but don’t be surprised if rookie dual-threat QB Jalen Hurts gets some sporadic action under center, with an option play or two. As for Wentz, he’ll get the ball out in a hurry with Donald breathing down his neck, taking those big plays off the board.

PREDICTION: Under 45.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

Philadelphia’s receiving corps is a MASH unit with top receiver Alshon Jeffery out of action, Quez Watkins on the IR, and rookie WR Jalen Reagor playing his way back into shape after missing a month due to a shoulder injury.

With a quick-hitting playbook likely in store for L.A., Wentz will cuddle up to his safety blanket, tight end Zach Ertz. He caught only three of the seven passes thrown his way in Week 1, totaling a measly 18 yards, but did find the end zone before everything went to hell for the Eagles.

The Rams allowed more than 900 yards to tight ends last season – eighth-most to the position – as well as six TDs to TEs. Los Angeles caught a break against the Cowboys in Week 1, with their top tight end Blake Jarwin going down with a season-ending knee injury early into the game.

Ertz has always saved his best for the City of Brotherly Love, scoring 24 of his career 36 touchdowns in Philly, and is trying to make a statement to ownership so they ink him to a long-term deal.

PREDICTION: Zach Ertz touchdown anytime (+204)

Rams vs Eagles betting card

  • Philadelphia pick’em (-110)
  • Under 45.5 (-110)
  • Zach Ertz touchdown anytime (+204)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Rams vs. Eagles picks, you could win $100.80 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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