It's not "what have you done, it's, what have you done for me lately,"? Updated NFL MVP odds saw Josh Allen's odds lengthen significantly following Buffalo's struggles against New England, despite the Bills picking up a win.
Meanwhile, Lamar Jackson saw his odds shorten following a win over Pittsburgh. Regardless of the movement, the Buffalo QB still has a stranglehold on the award... for now.
Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the NFL MVP as we get set to enter Week 17.
NFL MVP odds
Here is a look at updated NFL MVP odds. Compare Most Valuable Player odds from the top sportsbooks and click on the odds to bet now. Josh Allen (-550) is the current favorite.
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Josh Allen |
-550 | -450 | -500 |
 Lamar Jackson |
+400 | +380 | +375 |
 Saquon Barkley |
+1200 | +1500 | +1400 |
 Jared Goff |
+2000 | +2500 | +2500 |
 Joe Burrow |
+7000 | +15000 | +7500 |
 Sam Darnold |
+7000 | +10000 | +10000 |
 Patrick Mahomes |
+7500 | +7500 | +7500 |
NFL MVP odds are constantly in flux throughout the regular season. Here are what NFL Most Valuable Player odds looked like at the start of this season.
- Patrick Mahomes (+500)
- Josh Alen (+850)
- Joe Burrow (+900)
- Jalen Hurts (+1000)
- CJ Stroud (+1000)
- Jordan Love (+1400)
- Lamar Jackson (+1600)
- Brock Purdy (+1600)
- Dak Prescott (+1800)
- Aaron Rodgers (+2000)
- Jared Goff (+2200)
- Tua Tagovailoa (+2500)
- Justin Herbert (+3000)
- Matthew Stafford (+3000)
- Trevor Lawrence (+3500)
- Baker Mayfield (+6600)
NFL MVP betting odds favorites
Here is a look at NFL MVP betting odds favorites.
Josh Allen NFL MVP odds (-550)
The Bills quarterback separated himself from the NFL MVP odds pack with a fantastic stretch of play, but the narrative seemingly changed overnight after the Bills barely squeaked by the lowly Patriots. If you're a Josh Allen ticket holder, don't sweat.
Division games are always typically closer, and the Bills' offensive output was simply unsustainable. With games against the Jets and Patriots left, Allen will do enough to hold down the MVP.
Lamar Jackson NFL MVP odds (+400)
Lamar Jackson has the second-lowest NFL MVP odds following a massive win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Jackson threw three more touchdowns, and he's by far the biggest threat to Allen's MVP chances at this point.
Saquon Barkley NFL MVP odds (+1500)
Saquon Barkley (+1500 NFL MVP odds) got back to business after a stinker against the Steelers, rumbling for 150 yards and a score. It's too little too late for the RB, but his season should not be forgotten.
NFL MVP odds movement over time
NFL MVP predictions
Oddsmakers are telling us that if the season ended today, Josh Allen (-550) would be the NFL MVP over Lamar Jackson (+400 at bet365).
Kyle LaRusic's NFL MVP prediction: Josh Allen
Josh Allen scoring the game-clinching touchdown against Kansas City last month propelled him to favorite status, and I think he'll stay there for the remainder of the season.
The Buffalo Bills had a much-deserved bye in Week 12, then decimated the 49ers at home, with Allen passing to himself (technically) for a touchdown. Allen also gets to pile on the stats against the Jets and Patriots to close out the season.
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Who are people betting on for NFL MVP?
The numbers are in at BetMGM, and they paint an interesting picture of the 2025 NFL MVP race.
The sportsbook is reporting Jared Goff is generating the highest ticket percentage at 12.1%. The highest handle percentage, meanwhile, belongs to Josh Allen at 17.7%. BetMGM lists Goff as its biggest liability at this point in the season.
Popular NFL futures markets
NFL MVP winners by position
| Position | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 47 |
| Running back | 13 |
| Fullback | 4 |
| Halfback | 1 |
| Kicker | 1 |
| Defensive tackle | 1 |
| Linebacker | 1 |
Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.
NFL MVP winners by team
| Team | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
 Green Bay Packers |
10 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
5 |
 Cleveland Browns |
4 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
4 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
4 |
 New England Patriots |
3 |
 Washington Commanders |
3 |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
3 |
The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).
Former NFL MVP winners
| Player | Year | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson |
2023 | +1,600 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2022 | +700 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2021 | +800 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2020 | +3,000 |
| Lamar Jackson |
2019 | +4,000 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2018 | +3,525 |
| Tom Brady |
2017 | +385 |
 Matt Ryan |
2016 | +7,500 |
 Cam Newton |
2015 | +5,200 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2014 | +600 |
Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.
NFL MVP Odds FAQs
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is the betting favorite to win the 2024-25 NFL MVP award.
Lamar Jackson won the NFL MVP award in 2023 after leading the Baltimore Ravens to a stellar 13-4 record.
Running back Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP award in 2012 as a member of the Minnesota Vikings.
While it's rare, a defensive player can win the MVP. The most famous example is linebacker Lawrence Taylor, who won in 1986. However, offensive players, particularly quarterbacks, typically dominate the award.
Who Decides the NFL MVP Winner? The winner is determined by a vote from 50 sportswriters, broadcasters, and former players from each of the 32 NFL cities. Additionally, fans can submit votes via an online ballot. The player with the most points wins the award.
Yes, you can place multiple bets on different players for the MVP award, though your potential payout will depend on the odds at the time of your bet and the likelihood of each player's performance.
In the event of a tie, the NFL MVP will typically be awarded to multiple players, although this has only happened a few times in league history. Betting sites usually clarify the rules for tied outcomes in their terms and conditions.
A longshot MVP bet is a wager on a player who is considered an unlikely winner of the MVP award. These bets often have high odds, which means a larger payout if the player somehow wins.
