Monday Night Football picks & predictions: Titans vs Broncos

The Titans rode Derrick Henry's 247-pound frame to the AFC Championship last season, and guess what? Expect more of the same this Sunday against the Broncos in Week 1.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 10, 2020 • 05:06 ET

The final game on the NFL betting board for Week 1 is a matchup between the Tennessee Titans and Denver Broncos on Monday night, with kickoff just after 10:20 p.m. (hope you weren't thinking of going to bed early). **video
 
The Titans went 9-7 in 2019, sneaking into the playoffs where they upset the Patriots and Ravens and advanced to the AFC Championship. NFL odds have them as 2.5-point favorites against the Broncos, who are coming off a season where they went 7-9.

We break down the odds with our free NFL picks and predictions for the Titans vs. Broncos on September 14.

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos betting preview

Weather

It's expected to be a warm and clear night at Empower Field at Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colorado. Temperatures should remain in the 70s, even overnight. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Titans: Kenny Vaccaro S (Probable), Isaiah Wilson OT (Out), Dane Cruikshank DB (Out), Darrynton Evans RB (Out)
Broncos: Courtland Sutton WR (Out), Bradley Chubb LB (Probable), Mark Barron LB (Out), Graham Glasgow OL (Probable), Nick Vannett TE (Probable), Michael Ojemudia CB (Probable), Von Miller OLB (Out), K.J. Hamler WR (Out)
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 10-3 in Titans last 13 games overall. Find more NFL betting trends for Titans vs. Broncos.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

After starting the year off 2-4, the Titans went 7-3 to finish the season in head coach Mike Vrabel's second year at the helm. In the playoffs, they ran the ball down the throat of the Patriots and Ravens before coming up short against the eventual Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs.

Despite losing right tackle Jack Conklin in free agency and trading defensive lineman Jurrell Casey to Denver, Tennessee has retained the core from that postseason run. Ryan Tannehill returns at quarterback while running back Derrick Henry should be ready to rumble again after leading the league with 1,540 rushing yards.

Denver has plenty of question marks in their front seven, and the season-ending injury to All-Pro linebacker Von Miller doesn't help. The Broncos won't be able to stop the Titans ground game and might be too inexperienced on the offensive side of the ball to make up the difference. 

While the altitude at Mile High Stadium can be tough for visiting teams, the Titans do an effective job of controlling the ball with their running game and keeping opposing defenses on the field. Don't be surprised if it's the Broncos defense that gets worn down and tired in this contest, take the Titans to win and cover. 

PREDICTION: Tennessee -2.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under pick

The Broncos offense was ugly in 2019 as they went through three starting quarterbacks. But once they decided to give first-round pick Drew Lock the keys to the offense in December, they finally showed some signs of life. 

Sure, Lock struggled at times (like most rookie passers do), but he had a solid game against the Lions and a terrific performance against the Texans where he completed 81.5 percent of his passes for 309 yards and three touchdowns. He should be more consistent in his sophomore season, especially with the additions of running back Melvin Gordon and first-round wideout Jerry Jeudy.

As for the Titans, they also started last season off with an inept offense but turned things around once Tannehill became their signal caller. Tennessee averaged 32.7 points per game in their final nine regular season contests last year. With the Over/Under set at just 41, don't hesitate to back the Over. 

PREDICTION: Over 41 (-110)

 

Player Prop

Derrick Henry is the best player in this contest and after a monster year for the Titans in 2019, his rushing yards total will certainly be high. That said, we're confident that the 247-pound power back can truck Over it.

Henry piled up 377 yards in back-to-back playoff games against the Pats and Ravens, while averaging 102.7 rushing yards per game during the regular season. He was also a model of consistency, running for more than 85 yards in eight straight contests at one point. Expect a heavy dose of Henry on Monday and take the Over on his rushing yards total. 

PREDICTION: Derrick Henry Over 91.5 rushing yards (-109)

Titans vs Broncos betting card

  • Tennessee -2.5 (-110)
  • Over 41 (-110)
  • Derrick Henry Over 86 rushing yards (-115)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Titans vs. Broncos picks, you could win $58.14 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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