The Jacksonville Jaguars were the shocker of Week 1 NFL betting, upending the Indianapolis Colts as 7-point home underdogs last Sunday. A potential letdown spot could be on tap for Week 2, when the Jags visit the Tennessee Titans on Sunday.
The Titans are 9-point home favorites, coming off a close win at Denver on Monday night in Week 1. These AFC South foes split their two meetings SU and ATS last year, but Tennessee has won and covered in five of the past six head-to-heads.
Check out our NFL free picks and predictions for Jaguars vs. Titans on September 20.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans betting preview
Weather
The extended forecast calls for sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s, with winds blowing up to 10 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Jaguars: Dede Westbrook WR (Out)
Titans: A.J. Brown WR (Out), Vic Beasley Jr. LB (Out), Derick Roberson LB (Out)
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The favorite is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between the Jaguars and Titans. Find more NFL betting trends for Jaguars vs. Titans.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
The Titans were originally 11-point favorites for this Week 2 game when lookahead lines hit the board in the spring. The true Week 2 opening line hit the board Tuesday morning with Tennessee -9, but some shops are serving a 10-point spread for this divisional duel.
Tennessee went into Denver and took a victory from the Broncos in their home opener, something only two other teams have done since 2000. Had it not been for three botched field goals (and a PAT) from veteran kicker Stephen Gostkowski, the Titans’ outcome would be more impressive – especially for those holding a ticket on Tennessee -3.
Jacksonville used two interceptions (nearly three) from Philip Rivers and some “Minshew Magic” to stun the Colts, but was in no way dominant in its 27-20 win. The Jaguars were whistled for six penalties in the game, handing over five automatic first downs to Indianapolis. That was far from the most infractions in Week 1, but this team finished second in penalties last season, including 11 for 104 yards in their 42-20 loss at Tennessee in late November.
The letdown spot is in play for Jacksonville, which was pegged with the shortest season win total for 2020 (4.5). The Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games coming off a win and have a horrid history versus the Titans.
PREDICTION: Tennessee -9 (+101)
Over/Under pick
The total sits at 42 points for Sunday’s game, one of the lowest Over/Under numbers on the board. And with such a big spread, you’d have to think a fair amount of points would find their way to the scoreboard at Nissan Stadium – at least from the Titans.
At first glance, Derrick Henry’s rushing dominance leans toward the Under, with the way he can control the ball and chew up the clock. But he’s almost too effective for the liking of Under backers, after rushing for 116 yards versus the Broncos and boasting a monster 156-yard effort with two scores in his most recent matchup with Jacksonville.
Ryan Tannehill and Gardner Minshew aren’t going to be mistaken for Drew Brees any time soon, but both are efficient passers who have success in the red zone and don’t leave points on the table.
Minshew was 19-for-20 passing in the upset versus the Colts, with three touchdowns (two inside the red zone). He now has 18 red-zone TDs on 60 passes inside the 20-yard line in his short career. Tannehill, who threw two red-zone strikes Monday, was the top-rated QB in the red zone in the entire NFL last year.
PREDICTION: Over 42 (-110)
Player prop pick
The Titans are very happy with the Week 1 performance from WR Corey Davis, who caught seven balls for 101 yards against Denver.
Davis was slowed in the second half of 2019 with nagging injuries and even entered Monday’s game hobbled with a hamstring issue that plagued him during practice. He takes on a Jacksonville secondary that overperformed in Week 1, thanks to some rotten decisions from Rivers and no threat from the Indy ground game.
With a constant barrage from Henry, play-action passing is extremely effective for Tennessee. That will suck in the secondary for just a moment, allowing Davis to find clean air between him and the coverage. The 6-foot-3 target will be able to match the physicality of the Jags’ bigger corners and we like another strong day from Davis.
PREDICTION: Corey Davis Over 44.5 receiving yards (-115)
Jaguars vs Titans betting card
- Tennessee -9 (+101)
- Over 42 (-110)
- Corey Davis Over 44.5 receiving yards (-115)
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