Cowboys vs Rams Week 1 picks and predictions

Ezekiel Elliott and the Dallas Cowboys look to spoil the grand opening of SoFi Stadium when they visit the Los Angeles Rams' new home on Sunday Night Football.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Sep 9, 2020 • 07:48 ET

The Dallas Cowboys look to put on a show in Tinsel Town when they visit the Los Angeles Rams for Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season on Sunday Night Football.

The NFL betting odds opened with Dallas as a 2-point road favorite in the spring and instant action on the Cowboys pushed the spread to a field goal, where the line has remained steady – outside of adjustments to the vig. With this being the final game on Sunday’s slate, expect some late line movement.

Here are our NFL free picks and predictions for Cowboys vs. Rams on September 13. **video

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams betting preview

Weather

The game will be played indoors at the brand-new SoFi Stadium. Be sure to monitor all gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Cowboys: Amari Cooper WR (Probable), Jourdan Lewis CB (Out), Xavier Woods S (Probable), Chidobe Awuzie CB (Probable), Luke Gifford LB (Out), La'el Collins OT (Out), Sean Lee LB (Out)
Rams: Terrell Lewis LB (Out), Darrell Henderson Jr. RB (Probable), Cooper Kupp WR (Probable)
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Rams are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games as home underdogs. Find more NFL betting trends for Cowboys vs. Rams.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Despite the overhaul in Dallas’ coaching staff, new head coach Mike McCarthy kept on offensive wunderkind Kellen Moore to call the plays, with guys like QB Dak Prescott, RB Ezekiel Elliott, and WR Amari Cooper giving opposing DC’s the night sweats. That familiarity will have the Cowboys ahead of the game early in the schedule.

Another edge the Cowboys hold in this Week 1 matchup is new special teams coach John Fassel. Not only does “Bones” bring stability to a shaky unit but he also comes with plenty of inside intel on L.A. — he served under Sean McVay for the past three seasons and is one of three new Dallas coaches that was employed by the Rams last year.

The current line has Dallas -3 (+105) at some books, indicating a potential move back to Cowboys -2.5. If you want to wait and see if you get the half-point back, go for it. But know the public will likely be pounding America’s Team come Sunday night, so don’t wait too long.

PREDICTION: Dallas -3 (+100)

 

Over/Under pick

Los Angeles has a new defensive coordinator in Brandon Staley, so expect some growing pains with limited camp reps and zero preseason practice. But the Rams still have Aaron Donald and the Cowboys offensive line is not as formidable as it once was.

Tyron Smith and Zack Martin are still the pillars of the protection, but star center Travis Fredrick called it a career and tackle La’el Collins is on the IR, leaving Dallas to scramble for help on the right side.

As well, the Cowboys brought in Mike Nolan as the new DC and they a very special front seven to work with. Dallas will keep offenses guessing with multiple formations, which allows the likes of DeMarcus Lawrence, Aldon Smith and Everson Griffen to exploit mismatches and disrupt rival QBs.

The effectiveness of the Rams’ O-line is a mystery and McVay could go run-heavy with a committee of RBs to take the pressure off QB Jared Goff.

PREDICTION: Under 51.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

Jason Witten’s victory lap in 2019 was fun for Cowboys fans but not for fellow TE Blake Jarwin.

While Jarwin reeled in spectacular catches and made big plays on key downs, totaling 31 receptions for 365 yards and three touchdowns, he watched Witten vulture the red-zone reps. Jarwin was thrown to once inside the 20-yard line all season (ONCE!) and that was a one-yard gain for a touchdown.

Jarwin is now the top tight end on a stacked Dallas offense in 2020, and with the Rams secondary scrambling to keep track of the Cowboys’ talented trio of receivers and the L.A. linebacker corps nursing injuries, Jarwin is ready for his primetime coming-out party.

PREDICTION: Blake Jarwin touchdown anytime (+240)

Cowboys vs Rams betting card

  • Dallas -3 (+100)
  • Under 51.5 (-110)
  • Blake Jarwin touchdown anytime (+240)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Cowboys vs. Rams picks, you could win $113.92 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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