The 2024 NFL season rolls on, and regular season win totals remain a hot topic in the NFL odds.
The Kansas City Chiefs lead the charge with 13.5 projected wins ahead of their Week 6 bye. On the other end, books anticipate the New England Patriots and Carolina Panthers to continue to struggle.
With that said, here is every team's NFL Over/Under win total odds for the 2024-25 season heading into Week 6.
2024 NFL win totals
| Team | Total | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona Cardinals |
7.5 | -128 | +104 |
 Atlanta Falcons |
9.5 | -144 | +118 |
 Baltimore Ravens |
11.5 | +116 | -142 |
 Buffalo Bills |
10.5 | -128 | +104 |
 Carolina Panthers |
4.5 | -122 | +100 |
 Chicago Bears |
7.5 | -160 | +128 |
 Cincinnati Bengals |
8.5 | +110 | -134 |
 Cleveland Browns |
5.5 | +128 | -160 |
 Dallas Cowboys |
9.5 | +104 | -128 |
 Denver Broncos |
7.5 | -132 | +106 |
 Detroit Lions |
10.5 | -128 | +104 |
 Green Bay Packers |
9.5 | -102 | -120 |
 Houston Texans |
11.5 | +116 | -142 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
7.5 | -110 | -110 |
 Jacksonville Jaguars |
6.5 | -115 | -105 |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
13.5 | +110 | -134 |
 Los Angeles Chargers |
8.5 | +100 | -122 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
6.5 | +118 | -144 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
6.5 | +116 | -142 |
 Miami Dolphins* |
9.5 | -134 | +110 |
 Minnesota Vikings |
11.5 | -150 | +122 |
 New England Patriots |
4.5 | -128 | +104 |
 New Orleans Saints* |
7.5 | -122 | +100 |
 New York Giants |
6.5 | -104 | -118 |
 New York Jets |
8.5 | +110 | -134 |
 Philadelphia Eagles |
10.5 | -105 | -115 |
 Pittsburgh Steelers |
8.5 | +106 | -132 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
9.5 | -160 | +128 |
 Seattle Seahawks |
8.5 | -106 | -114 |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
8.5 | -130 | +106 |
 Tennessee Titans |
5.5 | -144 | +118 |
 Washington Commanders |
9.5 | -144 | +118 |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook on 10-8-2024.
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Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2024?
The Kansas City Chiefs lead all teams with a win total of 13.5. The Chiefs opened at 11.5, but a 5-0 start has boosted this total by two whole wins.
Close behind at 11.5 are the Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans.
Which NFL team is expected to have the least wins in 2024?
Bottom-of-the-barrel honors go to the New England Patriots and Carolina Panthers who have a win projection of 4.5. Last year saw the Pats finish 4-13, while the Panthers went 2-15.
When does Vegas release NFL win totals?
Traditionally, sportsbooks opened NFL regular season win totals odds soon after the free agency period and the NFL Draft. However, many sportsbooks have started offering this wager even earlier, releasing NFL props as soon as the week following the Super Bowl.
Popular NFL futures markets
How to bet NFL season win totals
Season win totals are somewhat self-explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.
Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team — based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule — and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.
On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets — also known as vig or juice — depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.
For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefore, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).
OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)
Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season, when all results are final.
NFL win totals trends
- There have been four teams in NFL history who have had an undefeated regular season, and the 2007 New England Patriots were the latest team to accomplish the feat.
- Five teams have gone winless in NFL history, with the 2017 Cleveland Browns being the last to do so.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have the most regular season wins in the last 10 years (117).
Win total history
Here's a quick look at recent NFL win total leaders.
| Season | Best record | Team(s) |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 13-4 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2022-23 | 14-3 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2021-22 | 13-4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers Green Bay Packers |
| 2020-21 | 14-2 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2019-20 | 14-2 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2018-19 | 13-3 | New Orleans Saints Los Angeles Rams |
| 2017-18 | 13-3 | Four separate teams shared the honor |
| 2016-17 | 14-2 | New England Patriots |
| 2015-16 | 15-1 | Carolina Panthers |
| 2014-15 | 12-4 | Five separate teams shared the honor |
| 2013-14 | 13-3 | Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks |
| 2012-13 | 13-3 | Denver Broncos Atlanta Falcons |
| 2011-12 | 15-1 | Green Bay Packers |
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