Italian Grand Prix Odds: History Against Verstappen in Italy

Max Verstappen is once again the heavy favorite this weekend but history isn't exactly on his side as he's never won the Italian Grand Prix and his best finish was fifth. Nevertheless, oddsmakers aren't deterred and have him installed as a -150 favorite.

Trevor Knapp - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Publishing Editor
Sep 10, 2022 • 21:54 ET • 4 min read
Max Verstappen Red Bull Formula 1
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The second half of the 2022 Formula 1 season continues at the Monza Circuit for the Italian Grand Prix.

The betting favorite is once again Drivers' Championship leader Max Verstappen, who is coming off another commanding victory at the Dutch Grand Prix on Sunday for his 10th win of the year. 

The Italian Grand Prix is owned of F1's most storied races with its origins dating back to 1921. It has been held every year without interruption since 1947.

Check out the full odds for the 2022 Italian Grand Prix below. 

F1 Dutch Grand Prix odds

Driver Odds to win Italian GP
Max Verstappen -150
Charles Leclerc  +120
George Russell +1,400
Carlos Sainz  +5,000
Sergio Perez +5,000
Lewis Hamilton +5,000
Fernando Alonso  +10,000
Lando Norris +10,000
Esteban Ocon  +20,000
Daniel Ricciardo  +20,000
Pierre Gasly +50,000
Valtteri Bottas  +150,000
Guanyu Zhou +200,000
Nyck de Vries +200,000
Yusi Tsunoda +200,000
Nicholas Latifi +200,000
Lance Stroll +250,000
Sebastian Vettel +250,000
Mick Schumacher +250,000
Kevin Magnussen +250,000

Odds courtesy of bet365 on September 11, 2022.

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Dutch Grand Prix Prix favorites

Max Verstappen (-150)

Verstappen continued his hot stretch with a big victory at the Dutch Grand Prix last Sunday for his 10th win of 2022 and his fourth straight. He leads the driver standings with 310 points (with the next closest being Charles Leclerc and Sergio Perez, each with 201).

As such, the 24-year-old is consistently listed as the betting favorite ahead of each new race week. However, he's never won the Italian Grand Prix and his best finish was fifth in 2018. He was forced to retire early in each of the last two editions of the race as well.

Will Verstappen get the monkey off his back or will his trend of lesser efforts in Italy continue?

Charles Leclerc (+120)

Unlike Verstappen, Leclerc has claimed victory in Italy, winning the Italian GP in 2019. He finished fourth in 2021, so he's already got a pair of finishes that rank better than Verstappen's best at the event.

Leclerc is also coming off a strong, third-place finish at the Dutch GP in his last showing, and succesfully claimed pole position on Saturday. 

George Russell (+1,400)

The 24-year-old is now third on the board after landing the second spot on the starting grid. In 16 starts with Mercedes, the Brit has six podium finishes.

Russell has 75 starts in his F1 career and has yet to claim first place. Could that all change on Sunday?

Italian Grand Prix starting grid

Position Driver
1 Charles Leclerc
2 George Russell
3 Lando Norris
4 Daniel Ricciardo
5 Pierre Gasly
6 Fernando Alonso
7 Max Verstappen
8 Nyck De Vries
9 Zhou Guanyu
10 Nicholas Latifi
11 Sebastian Vettel
12 Lance Stroll
13 Sergio Perez
14 Estaban Ocon
15 Valterri Bottas
16 Kevin Magnussen
17 Mick Schumacher
18 Carlos Sainz
19 Lewis Hamilton
20 Yuki Tsunoda

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

  • Sergio Perez +1,400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $1,400 if Perez wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this: 

  • Max Verstappen -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Publishing Editor

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Toronto Blue Jays and Indianapolis Colts fan.

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