Posted:
#1
March ended on a plus note with Ola Afolabi and Eddie Chambers leading the charge. Hoping to carry some momentum into April.
Boxing '09 YTD: +.72*
2.1* Francesco Pianeta -210
Germans know how to move heavyweight prospects. Sosnowski will be game, but Pianeta sounds like a kid taking his job seriously. I like that he's already been in a couple of grinders with fighters who wanted to pressure him, and that despite the experience edge, Sosnowski really hasn't gone that many rounds in recent years. There's a better chance the young kid catches a second wind and pulls away than that Sosnowski drowns him late.
1.0* Frankie Figueroa +220
Didn't catch that peach of an opener, but anything over +150 would be playable IMO. Bailey can be very tentative late in fights, and that might be just what the fairly stylish Figueroa uses to grab a decision. I'm assuming some of the value here comes from Frankie looking fairly hittable against Augustus, but name me a fighter who had an easy time with the Drunken Master on a night when he actually gave a sh*t.
Other plays include a future bet with Povetkin -700 and Dawson -750 to cash out. Need to take a closer look at the lightweight card, I'm all for fading Katsidas, but he's got just the right style to make Chavez feel every year of 36. If they release props, I'll also be on Valero ITD.
Leaning toward a play on Bradley by Decision +200. Can't lay -170 there in any form.
Good luck all!
Boxing '09 YTD: +.72*
2.1* Francesco Pianeta -210
Germans know how to move heavyweight prospects. Sosnowski will be game, but Pianeta sounds like a kid taking his job seriously. I like that he's already been in a couple of grinders with fighters who wanted to pressure him, and that despite the experience edge, Sosnowski really hasn't gone that many rounds in recent years. There's a better chance the young kid catches a second wind and pulls away than that Sosnowski drowns him late.
1.0* Frankie Figueroa +220
Didn't catch that peach of an opener, but anything over +150 would be playable IMO. Bailey can be very tentative late in fights, and that might be just what the fairly stylish Figueroa uses to grab a decision. I'm assuming some of the value here comes from Frankie looking fairly hittable against Augustus, but name me a fighter who had an easy time with the Drunken Master on a night when he actually gave a sh*t.
Other plays include a future bet with Povetkin -700 and Dawson -750 to cash out. Need to take a closer look at the lightweight card, I'm all for fading Katsidas, but he's got just the right style to make Chavez feel every year of 36. If they release props, I'll also be on Valero ITD.
Leaning toward a play on Bradley by Decision +200. Can't lay -170 there in any form.
Good luck all!
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