Berto vs Zaveck 9/3

I think this fight is a tougher one to call than most people think.  Although Berto seems to have all the advatanges in age, speed, footwork, technically superior, he has always shown that he fades late in the game.  He manages to keep his feet on the ground, but he gets more and more sloppy and fights with his hands down.  Against a Mayweather or Pacquiao hes a goner.  That is a huge champion character issue.  If you can't last the full 12 rounds then you are not worth -500.  The fight is Missouri, so Berto should get a slight lean on the judges card.  I like the over more than anything.  Javeck has shown that he can go the distance often and has a strong chin.  Additionally he only has a KO rate of 54.5%, so I'd doubt he would hurt Berto all that much.  

I see this fight with Berto starting sharply gaining an edge in the first 6-7 rounds.  His speed and jumping left hook should catch Zaveck often in the beginning.   Berto will then start to fade and Zaveck will race to catch up in the cards for a marginal loss.  

In any case I am feeling the over at +120.  I might lay the chalk on Berto for the win, but I am still hesitant to lay that much out on Berto. 

Zaveck = protected Eurotrash. To be honest, 5/1 is too short. Berto should be closer to -1000. 

No, since he'll finish him well before that. Also, putting a "fades" label on Berto is inaccurate. Is there some slowing down? Yeah, of course. However, it's because he was throwing meaningful bombs during the earlier portion of the fight. 

Unless he fatigued so bad he couldn't stand up, there is absolutely no chance he would lose due to stamina issues.

I seem to expect similar from what I saw on the Ortiz fight.  

At worst. He would have stopped him later regardless. He was beating Zaveck's ass. Too quick, too strong. 

I agree. You would have thought he was similar to an 19 year old Mike Tyson the way they were talking. Hardly so.