Boxing 05/07/11: Manny Pacquiao vs Shane Mosley (Analysis)

Manny Pacquiao vs Shane Mosley
WBO Welterweight Title (12 Rounds)
MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada

Type: Straight
Wager: Over 11.5 Rounds +150
Risk: 6.0 Units to Win 9.0 Units

Analysis: Orthodox (Mosley) vs Southpaw (Pacquiao). Both fighters are in the very best of shape which comes at no suprise. Last year on Kentucky Derby Day, Mayweather won a decisive decision over Mosley. The year before that on Kentucky Derby Day, Pacquiao knocked out Hatton in viscious style. This year on Derby Day, expect Pacquiao to win a decision over Mosley. Mosley is a counter puncher, and early in the fight expect the action to be good. After several rounds, Mosley will slow it down and try to pick his spots more after feeling the constant power and pressure from Manny. Mosley is a tough fighter, but very smart as well and after several rounds he will realize he is a big underdog trying to win a shoot-out. Therefore a slower tone for him, trying to steal rounds late and moving more. Overall he will take this option even if he feels he will lose only because it protects him. It will be very similar like it was against Mayweather. He caught Mayweather early, but Mayweather took control and Mosley took few risks. I don't like overs in fights because of cuts and swelling, but unless Manny does early damage, Mosley will play it safe.

 Thank you ManassaMauler.   Good luck to you!

Tried to get the basic breakdown before the fight for any late wagers that are still on the fence on which way to go. My plays the last four weekends were much better plays but had little time to post. They started prior to my biggest and best play was Victor Ortiz. I started good, went super hot, and stayed that way and tonight I had other prop bets on the main event and the undercard but I don't want to be a past-poster (unless I'm making an example).

If Shane came to fight he would of been dropped but he was content to run around and not be embarrassed.

Good hit on yoru bet Zouk...one of the lamest efforts and big time fight I have seen in years

For fight fans expecting FIREWORKS, all you had to was watch how when Mayweather shut down Mosley, Mosley took very few chances and the fight was over. My main post was for the over, but I clearly stated Manny by decision (+200). I said it would be like Mayweather in regards to him shutting down his offense and take few risks. When Oscar fought Tito, I told everyone how boring it would be, and it was in the action category. Many fights with both big names does not mean it will be a great fight to watch for action. Plenty of movies with a Oscar nominated & Oscar winning cast and you watch the movie for 2 hours and as the credits start rolling you wonder if this is a Pilot for a series or a movie without a BANG!

I had Manny by decision at +175 and the decision at +145 and Shane at +1600 by decison for $10...

Shane had never been KO'ed, and there was no way he was going out like that..

The decision was a great play....