Firstly I can't see how Manny can Lose this fight 99/100 times. I think Clottley is tailor made for him. Clottley will keep coming forward and Pacman will use his speed to pick the guy off at will. The Visa issue with his coach is a mess and his training camp has not looked impressive to me on what I have seen. He doesn't look like a guy who believes he can beat Pacquaio. The Odds makers agree and getting involved in the Manny SU win has absolutely no value.
I will be playing 2 plays. 1) The over 9.5 @ -175ish and 2) Manny on points @ + 175ish. While I expect Clottley to take a serious beating, I think Manny will have to be at his very best to KO this guy. The man is from one of the hardest parts in Africa and I don't think I have ever seen him in serious trouble. He had No problems handling Cotto's power (flash knockdown aside) and only Clottley and his team know how he lost that fight. He went to sleep (for reasons I still don't uderstand) in rounds 6, 11 and 12 and this cost him the fight.
I see a similiar outcome to the Pacman v Cotto fight. The over hits and maybe Manny gets the very late stoppage. I wouldn't discourage anyone from playing the Manny victory between rounds 10-12 at +400.
Am I confident in these picks? Not overly no. In truth if Clottley isn't phased by the whole occasion then the over will hit. He is teak tough. However considering the training camp problems, the fact he is fighting in a stadium he was clearly taken aback and in awe of by when he first saw it, means he could literally freeze on the big occasion. Such an occurance would not shock me at all and Pacman could conceivably end up having an easy nights work ala Hatton.
Also, sooner or later Clottley or someone of his stature will beat a pound for pound champ. Clottley is huge at the weight so if Manny has under-estimated him a shock KO is not totally out of the question..
Still, I have to play the board here and thats what I am going to do, so....
My plays are:
4* Over 9.5 @ -175
2* Manny Pacquaio to win on Points @ +175
Good Luck all no matter what your plays are 
Hot Forum Topics
