Posted:
#1
YTD: 13 plays, +13.7 units
Manny Pacquiao vs. Marco Antonio Barrera
Pacquiao by KO-TKO-DQ (+110)
3 units
This is a fight that didn't need to be made, as we already saw Pacquiao demolish Barrera in 2003. After the first round, Pacquiao's superior speed and power took over, and Barrera was basically outclassed by the younger, more talented fighter. Since that fight, Pacquiao has won 6 of his 8 fights (5 by KO), with the only non-wins being a draw against Juan Manuel Marquez and a unanimous decision loss to Erik Morales. But Pacquiao has since avenged the Morales loss by knocking him out in the tenth and third rounds in two subsequent rematches. Meanwhile, Barrera has gone at least ten rounds in six of the seven bouts since losing by TKO to Pacquiao in 2003. His only loss during this span came in his last fight against Juan Manuel Marquez, but his opponents haven't been on Pacquiao's level. Barrera can beat guys like Robbie Peden, Rocky Juarez, and a faded Morales with workmanlike performances, but that's not going to cut it against Pacquiao. Barrera just doesn't have the hand speed or defensive maneuverability to outbox Pacquiao, and even though he's been intensely training for this battle, heart can only take a fighter so far. Barrera is now 33 years old, and he's slowing down. This will be his last fight, and his family will likely force him to retire early if he's taking a beating on Saturday night. And a beatdown seems almost inevitable, as I just can't see how a fading Barrera can compete with Pacquiao when he couldn't do it in his prime. Take the KO prop, and be happy that you're able to capitalize on the public's infatuation with Barrera's legend. This prop should be more like -250, as it seems almost certain that Pacquiao will take him out. The only concern is that Pacquiao might not be taking the fight seriously, but I think that such talk is overblown. Pacquiao is a professional, and he'll take care of business once he's in the ring. He'd prefer a short night, and I think he'll get it, as I don't see Barrera surviving past the ninth round. Also, if you're disappointed with the PPV main event, blame Bob Arum and Oscar De La Hoya. They should've matched Pacquiao with Joan Guzman or Humberto Soto instead of milking Barrera's legend for one last payday.
Manny Pacquiao vs. Marco Antonio Barrera
Pacquiao by KO-TKO-DQ (+110)
3 units
This is a fight that didn't need to be made, as we already saw Pacquiao demolish Barrera in 2003. After the first round, Pacquiao's superior speed and power took over, and Barrera was basically outclassed by the younger, more talented fighter. Since that fight, Pacquiao has won 6 of his 8 fights (5 by KO), with the only non-wins being a draw against Juan Manuel Marquez and a unanimous decision loss to Erik Morales. But Pacquiao has since avenged the Morales loss by knocking him out in the tenth and third rounds in two subsequent rematches. Meanwhile, Barrera has gone at least ten rounds in six of the seven bouts since losing by TKO to Pacquiao in 2003. His only loss during this span came in his last fight against Juan Manuel Marquez, but his opponents haven't been on Pacquiao's level. Barrera can beat guys like Robbie Peden, Rocky Juarez, and a faded Morales with workmanlike performances, but that's not going to cut it against Pacquiao. Barrera just doesn't have the hand speed or defensive maneuverability to outbox Pacquiao, and even though he's been intensely training for this battle, heart can only take a fighter so far. Barrera is now 33 years old, and he's slowing down. This will be his last fight, and his family will likely force him to retire early if he's taking a beating on Saturday night. And a beatdown seems almost inevitable, as I just can't see how a fading Barrera can compete with Pacquiao when he couldn't do it in his prime. Take the KO prop, and be happy that you're able to capitalize on the public's infatuation with Barrera's legend. This prop should be more like -250, as it seems almost certain that Pacquiao will take him out. The only concern is that Pacquiao might not be taking the fight seriously, but I think that such talk is overblown. Pacquiao is a professional, and he'll take care of business once he's in the ring. He'd prefer a short night, and I think he'll get it, as I don't see Barrera surviving past the ninth round. Also, if you're disappointed with the PPV main event, blame Bob Arum and Oscar De La Hoya. They should've matched Pacquiao with Joan Guzman or Humberto Soto instead of milking Barrera's legend for one last payday.
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