Posted:
#1
I couldn't resist betting against 48 year old Roy Jones Jr. for a small
play at this price even though he outclasses his opponent by a mile
skillwise in this cruiserweight bout Friday evening. Bare knuckle
champion Bobby Gunn is no spring chicken himself at 43 years of age, but
has traditional boxing experience against decent competition and hits
hard even in a regular boxing glove bout such as this.
Bobby Gunn (+1050) vs Roy Jones Jr. ~$27.38 for ~$287.47
I love Adrian Granados, but I hate his price in this fight. Granados won me money against Amir Imam in his last bettable fight as a +900 underdog in 2015, and I was hoping that he'd be a bigger dog against Adrien Broner than the +250 or +260 where it's at now. I think it's significant that Broner changed the weight of this contest from a catchweight of 142 pounds to 147 pounds the other day which Granados had to agree to as the b-side fighter. I think that's in Broner's favor as he is the one that asked for it and he's naturally the more heavily muscled man, especially in the torso and arms. Based on the press conferences, Broner has also been sounding like he's taken his training camp seriously and not caught up in personal drama this time around, also something that Granados might have taken advantage of. I'm sure that Granados is going to be very game however, and I feel compelled to put a bet on him as one of my favorite boxers and also due to his high pressure swarmer style which may tend to stifle Broner's output at points. These guys know each other as Granados trained with Broner as his sparring partner before the latter's Maidana fight so I expect this to go to a decision or a late stoppage. I'm definitely going to hedge with Broner late stoppage and also by split and majority decision if those props become available, as Granados tends to get at least one judge on his side in all of his four losses.
Adrian Granados (+260) vs Adrien Broner $40.00 for $104.00
Adrian Granados wins in round 10-12 (+2200) ~$10.14 for ~$223.08
Adrien Broner wins in round 10-12 (+650) ~$15.21 for ~$98.87
Not Adrien Broner Inside Distance (-155) $62.00 for $40.00
Adrian Granados/Adrien Broner starts round 10 (-147) ~$75.04 for ~$51.04
Bobby Gunn (+1050) vs Roy Jones Jr. ~$27.38 for ~$287.47
I love Adrian Granados, but I hate his price in this fight. Granados won me money against Amir Imam in his last bettable fight as a +900 underdog in 2015, and I was hoping that he'd be a bigger dog against Adrien Broner than the +250 or +260 where it's at now. I think it's significant that Broner changed the weight of this contest from a catchweight of 142 pounds to 147 pounds the other day which Granados had to agree to as the b-side fighter. I think that's in Broner's favor as he is the one that asked for it and he's naturally the more heavily muscled man, especially in the torso and arms. Based on the press conferences, Broner has also been sounding like he's taken his training camp seriously and not caught up in personal drama this time around, also something that Granados might have taken advantage of. I'm sure that Granados is going to be very game however, and I feel compelled to put a bet on him as one of my favorite boxers and also due to his high pressure swarmer style which may tend to stifle Broner's output at points. These guys know each other as Granados trained with Broner as his sparring partner before the latter's Maidana fight so I expect this to go to a decision or a late stoppage. I'm definitely going to hedge with Broner late stoppage and also by split and majority decision if those props become available, as Granados tends to get at least one judge on his side in all of his four losses.
Adrian Granados (+260) vs Adrien Broner $40.00 for $104.00
Adrian Granados wins in round 10-12 (+2200) ~$10.14 for ~$223.08
Adrien Broner wins in round 10-12 (+650) ~$15.21 for ~$98.87
Not Adrien Broner Inside Distance (-155) $62.00 for $40.00
Adrian Granados/Adrien Broner starts round 10 (-147) ~$75.04 for ~$51.04
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