Rocky Fielding vs CaneloAlvarez

Rocky Fielding vs Saul Alvarez

Rocky is 27-1 with 15 KO’s.  He’s been knockout once himself in the first round of his fight with Callum Smith.  He’s a southpaw with quick hands.  He prefers to fight on the outside using his long reach to counter punch.  He throws “punches in bunches”  and goes to the body well.  He has a good right hand supported by a reasonable defensive skills. He’s had lots of early stoppages and tends to fade late in fights. He gives an honest effort each fight and I’ve heard him described as a “high class journeyman” and I would agree with that assessment.   

Saul Canelo Alvarez is 50-1-2 with 34 KO’s.  His lone loss was to Money Mayweather who totally dominated and confused Canelo.  Canelo is unique in that he fights differently depending on the opponent but a few key traits are present in every fight:  Iron chin, master counter puncher, very patient, excellent head movement on defense. Canelo is a ploder as he moves very little side to side. He use to have stamina problems late in fights,but lately it has greatly  improved. He has quick hands but not one punch KO power. 

This is Canelo’s first fight on the DAZN Network in which he sighed 5 year $365 Million contract. He just fought in September against teke-tough GGG a fight in which he suffered a deep cut over his eye.  I’m wondering if Canelo and his handlers considers the fight against Fielding to be more of a showcase than a competitive affair. And how hard he’s trained given the cut?  Fielding is receiving the biggest payday of his career and as I said will give a honest effort.  Look, Canelo will win the question is how.  Canelo is -1500 favorite so it doesn't make sense to bet on him to win. Canelo is somewhat laid back and prefers the counter punching style. He almost lets his opponent dictate the style of the fight.  If a fighter is aggressive and comes after Canelo, he plants his feet and fights back (see James Kirkland fight.) If the opponent is content to fight on the outside, Canelo will patiently counterpunch and build up points. Rocky is much bigger and fights at 168 pounds were Canelo is short in height and just started fighting at 160 pounds. Rocky has a 6 inch height advantage in this fight and will presumably outweigh Canelo by 10 or more pounds come fight time.  I think Rocky stays smart and fights on the outside so that it can go some rounds.   The over/under proposition is 7.5 rounds and I think the fight goes over.  If you want to try to catch a double, bet over 7.5 rounds and also Canelo by KO hoping the fight ends in rounds 8 through 12.