Posted:
#1
Fairly large card today from around the world. As always, lines are courtesy of the fine folks at 5dimes...
Stanyslav Kashtanov, -300, 9 units to win 3.
Mariusz Wach ITD, +1129, 3 units to win 33.87
Taylor/Chakhkiev over 5.5, -155, 7.75 units to win 5.
Barros/Garcia over 9.5, +140, 5 units to win 7
Lara ITD, -110, 22 units to win 20.
Moreno via decision, +202, 5 units to win 10.1
Casarez/Angulo under 7.5, -270, 8.1 units to win 3
This week is very interesting to me, as I feel like I'm being forced to pick decisive results given the styles and/or lines of the fights.
With that being said, I feel there is some very good value in Lara ITD. It's probably my favorite play, even though Lara isn't really a big puncher. That's fine, because Martirosyan isn't that good.
He's sloppy and has been caught and dropped in exchanges by far inferior fighters than Lara. His footwork is sloppy and he turns into a mess when even moderate pressure is applied, regardless of the opponent. While Lara is a classic counter puncher, I feel he'll be able to dictate the pace and terms of this fight. Not a good thing for Martirosyan, as this is going to be target practice for Lara.
Lara has a chance to make a statement here against a vastly inferior opponent, regardless of what it looks like on paper. I'm expecting him to get it done in a big way.
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