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***Smokin Weed with Dawson***

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Posted: #1
and he told me
 
 Wager type : Straight Bet 

  Sport      : Boxing Fighting   (Light Heavyweight 12 rounds - Hard Rock Hotel and Casino, Las Vegas, Nevada - HBO)
  Selection  : Dawson wins inside distance  5/9/2009 10:00 PM - (EST) 
               Money Line +329 for Game    
  Amount     : Risking 212.77   To Win 700.00  USD 
 
 
sike.....no serious he had tarver stunned a couple of times and throwing punch without response as well....Hbo needs a agressive fight....If traver is going to have a chance, which I think he knows this is his last chance....(unless he moves down and which he has never done ever and i think he could lose the weight and fight taylor or froch...fighting to lose...but i doubt it)
 
secondly for the value I will play the cut logic....as with the fact that everyone and there mom is thinking this is going to be an easy -190 for the distance and dawson or throwing the goes the distance in parlays.......Tarver has to create action to win and if he does I think he can do a little better but he is also leaving himself for a dawson punishment.....Value is too good to pass...play with big care.....
 
fyi...If tarver had been knockout for a loss anytime in his career then the line would be way way lower.....He is 40 now and honestly never has fought anyone beside Dawson once and johnson twice......(Jones was done) Dawson has the ablity to let go a bunch of punches......Watch him do so saturday...
 
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Posted: #2
Dawson ITD is reasonable at +329. . .  I might take it just because that is exactly what I'll be rooting for.  I have hated Antonio Tarver ever since he KO'd Roy Jones, and then I lost a SHITPILE on him vs BHop.  I hope Dawson breaks his jaw
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Posted: #3
I won like $500 the night he KOd Jones at 2-1 odds. I like Tarver , lost $ vs Hopkins also although I only bet him to win that by KO so it wasnt a total shitfest

I could see Dawson just beating the crap out of him for 10 rounds and then it getting stopped late
 
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Posted: #4
No value, but OVER is the play
 
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Posted: #5
Tarver say's he is going to let his hands go this time
https://www.fightnews.com/?p=10830

If he does, he will get KO'ed
but I don't believe him
Tarver is very conservative with his punches and afraid to exchange with the young lion
Dawson had him stung late in the last fight
probaby another decision here, but I'm taking a shot with you CEE
DAWSON ITD +329

 
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Posted: #6
the late round ko props look juicy. +3k and up. 
 
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Posted: #7
has Tarver ever been stopped???
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by EricLinny:

has Tarver ever been stopped???

no

First time for everything
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by NJDevils:

I won like $500 the night he KOd Jones at 2-1 odds. I like Tarver , lost $ vs Hopkins also although I only bet him to win that by KO so it wasnt a total shitfest

I could see Dawson just beating the crap out of him for 10 rounds and then it getting stopped late

Yes Sir NJD,  I'm going to use the ML in this one, I like what you see in this fight!
The only 40 year old I saw kick ass was the new Scorpion King!

Tarver gets knocked out this time!!!
 
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Posted: #10
Tarver isn't getting KOed....I'm sorry fellas
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by EricLinny:

Tarver isn't getting KOed....I'm sorry fellas

I feel even better about my under pick. Cheers Eric!

 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by EricLinny:

Tarver isn't getting KOed....I'm sorry fellas
Face it man, Tarver is a shell of his former self. Dawson does not want to be in this fight and probably is annoyed with Tarver more for making him go through with a rematch from a WIDE UD.  If there's a chance to unload and end it early, Dawson will hopefully do so. 

Tarver probably isn't going to leave the sport until he gets dropped, and this looks like a great opportunity against hopefully the last bigger name he draws.  At +332 ITD or +320 on the under, it's about the only arguable plays in a fight that's otherwise juiced to hell and back on anything else worth playing. 


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Posted: #13
no way I eat all that chalk in this one,,may take a flyer on antonio,,get em Magic Man- just collected from the local yesterday for pac man so got a nice boxing buzz this a.m. --holla
 
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Posted: #14
I may take a ride to the Hard Rock and spend $35 to sit upstairs and watch this thing
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8:

Face it man, Tarver is a shell of his former self. Dawson does not want to be in this fight and probably is annoyed with Tarver more for making him go through with a rematch from a WIDE UD.  If there's a chance to unload and end it early, Dawson will hopefully do so. 

Tarver probably isn't going to leave the sport until he gets dropped, and this looks like a great opportunity against hopefully the last bigger name he draws.  At +332 ITD or +320 on the under, it's about the only arguable plays in a fight that's otherwise juiced to hell and back on anything else worth playing. 




I agree with you 100% man.  That's why it's a no-play for me.  There are much better fights coming up so why mess with this pointless fight
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by NJDevils:

I may take a ride to the Hard Rock and spend $35 to sit upstairs and watch this thing


$35

I thought they jacked up the prices at Hard Rock for fights
 
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Posted: #17
My local has the under at 9.5.  Is that what it is everywhere?  This seems like it should be 11.5.  It's -400 for the over.  I believe Tarver has no shot, but I still won't bet with these odds.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by DannoDanger:

My local has the under at 9.5.  Is that what it is everywhere?  This seems like it should be 11.5.  It's -400 for the over.  I believe Tarver has no shot, but I still won't bet with these odds.

its itd or nothin unless you wanna waste money on tarver....but serious not happening.....I see dawson teeing off, i heard he is very MOTA!!vated to kill traver, hbo contract will do that to u...

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Cee_MoNeY:

its itd or nothin unless you wanna waste money on tarver....but serious not happening.....I see dawson teeing off, i heard he is very MOTA!!vated to kill traver, hbo contract will do that to u...





I'm gonna have to be very MOTAvated just to watch.
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by DannoDanger:

My local has the under at 9.5.  Is that what it is everywhere?  This seems like it should be 11.5.  It's -400 for the over.  I believe Tarver has no shot, but I still won't bet with these odds.


Yeah, it was 9.5 U +320 at 5Dimes earlier this week
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by EricLinny:



$35

I thought they jacked up the prices at Hard Rock for fights


Not for this one.

 
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Posted: #22
Good deal
 
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Posted: #23
Good luck Cee.
 
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

Good luck Cee.

thanks.....added a bill and change to it at +300 to win 400......put small amount on dawson striaght....very very smallll....

 

goodluck

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