Posted:
#1
Holt-Torres is a good match up, and a fight that needed to be made, so why not get in a play?
I'm expecting a more tactical, cautious fight from both men, each having felt the other's power in the first fight. I also feel that Holt is the more talented and accomplished fighter overall, so my picks are Holt -260 and over 9.5 -170, both risking about 1 unit.
While I concede that both men have the power to earn a stoppage, I don't think either man is outclassed to the point that we see an early or even mid round stoppage. I'm concerned that Holt doesn't use an assertive jab and he doesn't throw enough punches overall, but I expect him to do enough to win rounds and earn a decision, if he can stay on his feet. There are a couple other angles influencing my play. I think the odds are a little surprising. Setting the loser of the first fight as a greater than 2-1 favorite in the rematch is a little unusual, and I think it reflects the confidence the books have in Holt. I also think that a close decision will go Holt's way given the improprieties of the first fight and the incentive to possibly make a trilogy.
Good luck to everyone, looking forward to the show.
I'm expecting a more tactical, cautious fight from both men, each having felt the other's power in the first fight. I also feel that Holt is the more talented and accomplished fighter overall, so my picks are Holt -260 and over 9.5 -170, both risking about 1 unit.
While I concede that both men have the power to earn a stoppage, I don't think either man is outclassed to the point that we see an early or even mid round stoppage. I'm concerned that Holt doesn't use an assertive jab and he doesn't throw enough punches overall, but I expect him to do enough to win rounds and earn a decision, if he can stay on his feet. There are a couple other angles influencing my play. I think the odds are a little surprising. Setting the loser of the first fight as a greater than 2-1 favorite in the rematch is a little unusual, and I think it reflects the confidence the books have in Holt. I also think that a close decision will go Holt's way given the improprieties of the first fight and the incentive to possibly make a trilogy.
Good luck to everyone, looking forward to the show.
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