I have Ward +1000 (posted on this site) pre tourney so I am sitting really pretty on that. I think it will be Ward v Froch final.
1) Ward v AA. I don't see how Aurthur Abraham can win this fight. He is going to be down 5 rounds to 0 going into round 6. I think Ward is far too clever to get caught with a big Abraham shot. This looks VERY like Ward on points. Incredibly that result is close to -300 so the books are onto it. To me this is a no play but if I had to bet I would take a gamble on Ward KO/TKO/DQ at +275. If you have noticed AA's last 2 fights. He got DQ'd when he was behind against Dirrell and then he threw an elbow against Froch when the fight was slipping away from him. I know he had a tune up fight but late on in this fight, this will be 3 beatdowns in a row against top quality Super middleweights and I think AA could have some sort of meltdown. To be honest not a fight to get heavily involved in. I got a hunch something really conterversial is going to happen here, so I can't take Ward on points at those odds..
2) Froch v Johnson. I think this will be a great fight. I think Johnson will do what AA couldn't and bring Froch into the trenches. I think Froch wins a VERY close decision. You can get the Froch decision at evens which REALLY does tempt me. Right now Johnson is +275 and I find it hard to resist taking a nibble at that. I think Glen goes very close here. I will decide closer to fight time, whether to bet with my heart or my head.
Head = Froch Decision @evens
Heart = Road warrior @ +275