+33.9 units for the year.
Marquez/Casamayor Either Fighter Goes Down or out (+100) 2 units to win 2
Marquez wins in round 7-9 (+1406) .2 units to win 2.8 units
Marquez wins in rd 10-12 (+1384) .2 units to win 2.76 units
Fight won't go 1:30 into Rd. 11 (+265) 1 unit to win 2.65
I think Casamayor is a guy that Marquez could wear down as his power shots increase heading towards the middle rounds. I expect this fight to be close (too close to play JMM) but can see Marquez getting stronger as the mid rounds end (something Casamayor has not done in recent fights). Marquez has been known to hit the floor every once and a while too, making the knockdown prop even more attractive.
Sergio Mora (-115) over Forrest 1.15 units to win 1
Mora/Forrest draw (+1600) .2 units to win 3.2
I don't see much indication as to why this isn't just Round 13 of a lopsided fight. Forrest is continuing to get up there in age and this just screams like he's hitting up this clause to get another payday. Rounds could be close though, like last time, making the draw a possiblity.
Nate Campbell wins by 12 round decision (+346) 1 unit to win 3.46
This one likely goes the distance and, gun to my head, I'd take Joan. That said, there are enough factors to make this play attractive to me. Campbell figures to be the crowd favorite here, Guzman is moving up in weight, Guzman has been inactive, and Campbell may be the harder puncher inside if he can get there. I want to root for Nate anyway.
Edner Cherry (+525) over Bradley 1 unit to win 5.25
I don't see Bradley being a 7-1+ favorite over Cherry. True, Cherry sucks when he moves up in weight to 140 but he is slick enough to win exchanges with a guy who, lets face it, is one fight from being a lightly known prospect. This isn't Paulie Malignaggi Cherry is fighting tomorrow and I expect him to be competitve. He always shows up to fight so Bradley will need to be very, very good to justify these odds.
Good luck to everyone this week.