Posted:
#1
2007: +12.45 units
2008: -7.56 units
Michael Katsidis vs. Joel Casamayor
Casamayor +185
2 units
I'm fading the public on this one, as people have gone overboard in extrapolating Casamayor's poor performance against Jose Armando Santa Cruz into a broad conclusion that Casamayor's a shot fighter. Santa Cruz had a 3-inch height advantage and a 5-inch reach advantage. This created problems for Casamayor, as he had trouble coming inside, where he normally would inflict effective counter combinations on his opponent. From the outside, Casamayor just couldn't do much except dodge and roll against Santa Cruz's large volume of punches (which didn't do much damage to Casamayor due to their lack of precision, along with Casamayor's slitheriness). I agree that Santa Cruz got robbed in that one, but I just didn't see Casamayor as being shot. If he was shot, wouldn't he have gotten caught and hurt? I know that he went to the canvas in round 1, but that was more of a slip, as Casamayor got hit with a counter hook when he was off balance from missing a punch; he wasn't hurt at all. In Katsidis, Casamayor won't have the same problem getting inside because Katsidis doesn't possess a height-reach advantage. Also, Katsidis is making his biggest step up to date, and he hasn't shown that he has the technical skills to deal with someone of Casamayor's caliber. Katsidis likes to pressure opponents as he goes for the KO, but I question his finishing power due to his inability to KO the hittable Czar Amonsot (who had previously suffered two KO losses to an Indonesian journeyman), and his uneven performance against Graham Earl, who came back from several knockdowns to return the favor on Katsidis, nearly KO'ing him in the process. Once the initial barrage fails to hurt Casamayor, Katsidis is going to have his hands full trying to outbox the veteran champ. Casamayor should win on points if it goes to the scorecards, but Katsidis cuts easily, so a late-round stoppage isn't out of the question.
2008: -7.56 units
Michael Katsidis vs. Joel Casamayor
Casamayor +185
2 units
I'm fading the public on this one, as people have gone overboard in extrapolating Casamayor's poor performance against Jose Armando Santa Cruz into a broad conclusion that Casamayor's a shot fighter. Santa Cruz had a 3-inch height advantage and a 5-inch reach advantage. This created problems for Casamayor, as he had trouble coming inside, where he normally would inflict effective counter combinations on his opponent. From the outside, Casamayor just couldn't do much except dodge and roll against Santa Cruz's large volume of punches (which didn't do much damage to Casamayor due to their lack of precision, along with Casamayor's slitheriness). I agree that Santa Cruz got robbed in that one, but I just didn't see Casamayor as being shot. If he was shot, wouldn't he have gotten caught and hurt? I know that he went to the canvas in round 1, but that was more of a slip, as Casamayor got hit with a counter hook when he was off balance from missing a punch; he wasn't hurt at all. In Katsidis, Casamayor won't have the same problem getting inside because Katsidis doesn't possess a height-reach advantage. Also, Katsidis is making his biggest step up to date, and he hasn't shown that he has the technical skills to deal with someone of Casamayor's caliber. Katsidis likes to pressure opponents as he goes for the KO, but I question his finishing power due to his inability to KO the hittable Czar Amonsot (who had previously suffered two KO losses to an Indonesian journeyman), and his uneven performance against Graham Earl, who came back from several knockdowns to return the favor on Katsidis, nearly KO'ing him in the process. Once the initial barrage fails to hurt Casamayor, Katsidis is going to have his hands full trying to outbox the veteran champ. Casamayor should win on points if it goes to the scorecards, but Katsidis cuts easily, so a late-round stoppage isn't out of the question.
0
Let's cash this under.
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