Posted:
#1
2007: +12.45 units
2008: +25.3 units
2009: +14.74 units2008: +25.3 units
Nikolay Valuev vs. Ruslan Chagaev
Valuev -115 (Bodog)
2.3 units
This play is mostly based on Chagaev's deteriorating condition following his bout with hepatitis during the last two years. The first fight between the two heavyweights was close, with Chagaev earning the decision due to his evasive moves and smart countering. But Chagaev hasn't approached that form recently, and Valuev is probably better now than he was two years ago (despite an uninspired showing against Evander Holyfield last December). Also, there's talk that Chagaev almost pulled out of this fight, so I'm expecting the line on Valuev to climb as the fight approaches in the next 24 hours. My advice is to take Valuev now while the price is still reasonable.
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