Posted:
#1
Hey guys. I'm a huge CFL fan and thought I'd post my thoughts on the playoff games this year. As a disclaimer - I do not claim to be any type of expert "picker" but perhaps some of my words can help your picks. Here we go...
Argos @ T-Cats
When Ham QB Zack Collaros went down with an injury against the Eskimos on Sep 19th it seemed to spell doom for the Ti-Cats' hopeful season. They have posted a 2-4 record since (being outscored by only 3 points 123-120) and have had a revolving door at QB. Jeff Mathews, Luke Tasker, Jacory Harris, and Jeremiah Masoli have all taken snaps. Masoli, who appeared for the first time this year in last week's game against the Redblacks, will get the start.
The Argos also have a quarterback "controversy" of their own. While veteran QB Ricky Ray recovered from off-season surgery Trevor Harris played the first 14 games for the Argos (8-6 record, connected on 382 of 538 and threw for 4354 yds and 33 TD's). Entering mid-October the Argos offense began to sputter, culminating in a 27-15 loss to Calgary and a 34-2 beatdown at home against the Montreal Alouettes. Ray has played the last 2 games for the Argos, posting a 1-1 record while completing 35/50 passes with 316 yds and 2 TD's. Ray gets the start today.
With so many questions at quarterback on both sides of the field I look towards the defense to be the defining force in this game. The Ti-Cats have been good all year posting a league high 26 interceptions (6 returned for TD's) and mid-range 38 sacks. This is compared to the Argos' 13 interceptions (2 returned for TD's) and respectable 46 sacks. The Ti-Cats are a perfect 9-0 when winning the turnover battle.
If the Ti-Cats can tame the Argos offense (which I think they will) we should be in for a low(ish) scoring game that Hamilton MIGHT be able to win without putting up big numbers on offense. I just don't see Masoli having a huge game and I think the veteran Ray will struggle to put up numbers that he has in previous years (maybe we will see a Harris appearance?).
Look for an offensive error/big defensive play (fumble, int etc etc) to win this game for either team. I'm leaning towards Hamilton winning by a very small margin but I'm not confident. All the info I have points towards a game with total points in the high 30's or low-mid 40's.
UNDER 51.0
0
The best 2 teams will be playing next sunday in edmonton.
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