(((( 2011 GREY CUP )))

YTD 36-24 ( +6.75 units )

WINNIPEG +7 ( 3 units )

 This game would of been a virtual Pick Em or BC a small favorite on neutral site, with that being said I'm actually glad the game is being played in BC which makes me more than happy to take the 7 points  here. The BlueBombers are the only team in the East with a winning SU road record so playing away from home with all the marbles on the line should not be a problem. They also own the Best ATS record this year and their ability to dominate games defensively is about as impressive as I've ever seen in the last 30 years watching CFL games. They dominated the CFL's defensive category rankings finishing first in almost every one. They led the league in Fewest Yards,sacks, passing yards allowed and interceptions. The Bombers also forced a league high 54 turnovers. Why do i think this is important ? If you consider that Hamilton scored 40 plus points in the Eastern Division semi final and then went into Winnipeg the following week off such a high  and were held to 3 points in 4 quarters. Well this is quite remarkable and it shows me that the defense will dominate this game.

GOOD LUCK

In 3 previous years, favorite is 0-3 ATS but 3-0 SU.  Arguably, BC has the better defense especially in last 2 months when Winnipeg defense has allowed most points and more than Saskatchewan. When both defenses are strong, the key determinants  might be offenses and special teams.  Since Winnipeg  is worst in penalties and  "twos and outs", offense is more lilely to struggle. 

 Underdogs must win turnover battles to have a chance.   But if BC wins that battle. Winnipeg is in trouble.  BC rarely self-destructs but Winnipeg has allowed more turnovers.  Pierce is more likely to be pressured than Lulay because Winnipeg is 2nd worst in allowing sacks while BC is #1 in fewest sacks allowed.  As with Ricky Ray, loud noise and weak QB protection may cause more errors by Pierce.