Bombers V Lions

Posting 1-5 -1*

The Old meets New...

I cant tell if the champs were coasting in the second half ( looking ahead ) or if they are really not that good on offense. When I look at their YPP on Offense I get 6.6 which is the 2nd worst in the league. In fact you take out their two defensive TD's they avg 18 points a game 

The Ypp on defense is 7.2 which is the middle of the pack and on AVG they allow a league best 15.7 , but keep in mind the have played TOR, OTT (2X), and Hamilton a combine 1-9 SU and the AVG of these 3 teams output on offense is 18.5 - MY Dudes this the CFL these teams are garbage. 

Their Net Yards per Play is -.6 because the offense is way behind the defense.

NOW BC - I was skeptical about the lions last week - Short week, OTR off of 2 blow outs , but they racked up points again and if not for two mistakes by Rourke ( turns out he is human ) that game could have been another blow out.

The Lions NYPP is +2.3 so the Game differential is +2.9 in the Lions favor. 

The line opened at -2 BC at Coolbet (posted on BET STAMP ) which I immediately bet 3* and now today its at -3. So will keep it at -3 for record keeping.

I know the SQDL's this forum seems to heavily rely on favor the Bombers - but the eye test and stats from this season suggest another BC win. Of course lots can go wrong, TO's , the Champs final rise up and play a good game , a missed Fg results in a rouge and the lions don't cover but honestly I don't think this will be a one score game.

BC -3 -110 3*

I am off to Seattle this weekend and will be at the Jays and M game Saturday night - So enjoy this football game and GO LIONS!

Powerz

Had a little time today to update my Turnover + -'s

Sask +9

CGY +8

BC +4

Winn +3

MONT 0

OTT -3

ED -5

TOR -6

HAM -9

if you see an error let me know I think i am 1 off some where

Winnipeg should win this game.

They still have the best defense and best players at their position who are all game changers (Jefferson, Jeffcoat, Bighill, Ford).

I think Rourke is going to have a heck of a time against Winnipegs defense.  They are going to be in his face all game and keep him under constant duress and force some turnovers.  Let's not forget this kid is only a rookie playing in his 4th game and it will be against the leagues best defense.  Rookie QBs usually don't fare well against the best defense in only his 4th game.

BC hasn't beaten anyone in my eyes yet and they are the ones who still need to prove themselves (Edmonton, Toronto, Ottawa) Edmonton is the worst team in the west, and the east has a combined 2 wins (1 of those wins was because an east team was playing another east team).  Toronto can't even convert a point after.  Twice now.

Winnipeg still also has the best offensive line.  Yes no Harris to run the rock and Demsky is out, but Collaros is a smart QB and and does what he needs to do to win games.  Ellingson is a pretty good WR too.

This is a perfect letdown game for BC.  Riding high after 2 big blowout wins and a 3-0 start, playing at home against the defending 2x Grey Cup Champs and -3.5 favorites?! That's a little too much, but I'll bite!

Good luck either way

Also Burnham and I believe Whitehead is also out for BC, their 2 best WRs.

Winnipeg is on a short week and has to travel to BC, that can come into play too.

@slushie007

 I think you need to look at the Stats - BC defense is better in every category and they are practically tied in in PTS allowed BC 16.3 WIN 15.8

I'll give you the Oline of Win is good but I noticed in last weeks game the RBS dont have Harris's finish after contact they are weasy to get to teh ground so not getting that extra 2-3 yards that Harris would get. Oliveria is only  AVG'g 3.2 yards per carry

BC hasn't beaten anyone ? Winnipeg's opponents are 1-9 combined. Your notion that this is a let down spot for the LEO's is bad one too The Champs always get the other teams best shot. BC will be ready 

The fact this game opened at BC -2 tells you everything you need to know the making Winnipeg a dog on the road at opening was inviting Winnipeg money and the line moved against them -2 to -3.5 

GL with your play the ball bounces in funny ways so you never know ...

P

GL on the plau Powerz, great year so far congrats!!

@Powerz

The Lions defense p!ssed off the Bombers/Jefferson saying they have a soft vanilla offense.