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#1
These lines are moving so I need to get these plays out. I only endorse the lines I post here so anything else play at your own risk. I always advise having multiple books as the market is posted different. I have 2 locals, Pinnacle, 5Dimes, CRIS, and Bovada. All dogs to under tonight, weird how that worked out.
Saskatchewan +6 and UNDER 55. Both lines were just bet at Pinnacle.
-UNDER 55 is supported by an angle that is 4-1 this year and 112-57 all time. Conference games with a total of 50 to 61 that see a line move of -1 to 7. This situation has been on fire this year for the under.
-SAS +6 is supported by 2 different angles. First one is 3-1 this year and 73-34 all time. Total of 54+, opponent win % is 59%+ and team we are taking has a win % of 58% or less. Second angle is 7-4 this year and 182-122 all time. Total is 49+ and the dog is on a losing streak. Love both of these angles in support of SAS.
The next game is interesting because of my other thread on this game. The line opened at Hamilton +3 and I instantly knew that sharper money would back Hamilton while the majority of bets would be on BC. This almost always results in the line going down and most people asking "Everyone is on BC, why is line going down?". I placed a 2k bet on Hamilton +3 (1 U for me is $500). I plan on waiting right before kick when I'm projecting line to be -1.5 to pick and the ML BC for $1500. I will still have my original 1 U bet on Hamilton, but with a window to win an extra 2500ish on the middle. Now for the official plays -
Hamilton +2 to the UNDER of 54. Per the write up above I obviously have Hamilton +3, but this line is no longer available and they are still a strong play at +2.
UNDER 54 - When the UNDER is 50+ and the visitors win % is 54% or less the under is 7-3 this year and 171-92 lifetime.
Hamilton +2 - there are actually FOUR great angles supporting Hamilton but I will just share two to save myself some time - One I call "Average Dog, Short line". It's so simple, when a teams win % falls between 45-55% and the line is 0 to +5 those teams are 80-26 ATS lifetime and 2-1 this year. The other is Road dogs off a 13+ point loss - 42-17 lifetime!
BOL on your plays. I really hope BC wins by 1 tonight!
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