This forum is kinda dead one week away from the start of the season. I don't keep track of much of the personnel changes, except for head coaching changes and some quarterback changes.
Read that Montreal parted ways with Juron Carter....WHAT TOOK YOU SO FREAKIN' LONG?
Coaches are for me the most important part of handicapping as good coaches make stars out of players. For that reason I expect the Roughriders to improve a lot this year and that the power will be again in the West.
With apologies to Hoody who brings his compass, abacas and logorithmic tables with him to figure his power ratings out....I haven't used any of those since my dog ate them.
I am sure Vegas is ranking these teams differently than I am,....I am not predicting what the lines will be, just giving my take of the relative strengths of the teams after I had a discussion with the ghost of Albert Einstein.
Highest number is the highest rating....
Winnipeg 98
Edmonton 97
BC 96
Calgary 94
R'riders 92
Ottawa 94
Hamilton 93
Toronto 89
Montreal 88
My opinion is that Calgary suffers from a letdown season after being the dreaded runner-up despite dominating the league during the regular season last year.
Ottawa brought it when they needed to, but I think they regress this year too. Montreal I obviously have as the worst team in the league because they are the most dysfunctional and they can't seem to find a quarterback that can pass the ball. Anthony C. might've been a great qb, but I think he is clueless as an offensive coordinator....or maybe he's great and his quarterbacks have been abysmal, I don't know.
I like Winnipeg this year along with Wally and the Eskies....I expect the EE's defense will be better this year, because how can it get any worse? Can Riley keep himself from being injured though, that is the question....he is probably the most valuable player to his team in the league.
You are going to disagree with some (all) of these....so what? We'll have a friendly discussion about them, no fistfights or duels allowed. We're not taking things personally here and if you're evaluating things more clearly and would like to share, that is what it is all about.
To the people that "don't see the point" sorry 'bout that, but what's the point of showing your displeasure?...make your own thread with your own wisdom.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
This forum is kinda dead one week away from the start of the season. I don't keep track of much of the personnel changes, except for head coaching changes and some quarterback changes.
Read that Montreal parted ways with Juron Carter....WHAT TOOK YOU SO FREAKIN' LONG?
Coaches are for me the most important part of handicapping as good coaches make stars out of players. For that reason I expect the Roughriders to improve a lot this year and that the power will be again in the West.
With apologies to Hoody who brings his compass, abacas and logorithmic tables with him to figure his power ratings out....I haven't used any of those since my dog ate them.
I am sure Vegas is ranking these teams differently than I am,....I am not predicting what the lines will be, just giving my take of the relative strengths of the teams after I had a discussion with the ghost of Albert Einstein.
Highest number is the highest rating....
Winnipeg 98
Edmonton 97
BC 96
Calgary 94
R'riders 92
Ottawa 94
Hamilton 93
Toronto 89
Montreal 88
My opinion is that Calgary suffers from a letdown season after being the dreaded runner-up despite dominating the league during the regular season last year.
Ottawa brought it when they needed to, but I think they regress this year too. Montreal I obviously have as the worst team in the league because they are the most dysfunctional and they can't seem to find a quarterback that can pass the ball. Anthony C. might've been a great qb, but I think he is clueless as an offensive coordinator....or maybe he's great and his quarterbacks have been abysmal, I don't know.
I like Winnipeg this year along with Wally and the Eskies....I expect the EE's defense will be better this year, because how can it get any worse? Can Riley keep himself from being injured though, that is the question....he is probably the most valuable player to his team in the league.
You are going to disagree with some (all) of these....so what? We'll have a friendly discussion about them, no fistfights or duels allowed. We're not taking things personally here and if you're evaluating things more clearly and would like to share, that is what it is all about.
To the people that "don't see the point" sorry 'bout that, but what's the point of showing your displeasure?...make your own thread with your own wisdom.
Love the insight and thoughts you bring to these forums like the CFL and WNBA. I personally love both these leagues because its not as crazy as the main sports and the guys and girls who post here are 99% genuinely into the league, follow it and bet it and thats the best cappers you will find. People that consistently watch the sport week in week out.
I completely agree with you Indigo on pretty much all counts apart from the Stamps having a letdown. I don't see the Argo's or Als doing much all season. Durant isnt' the savior for the Als and Ray is 83 years old and is injury prone. I do believe in Nicholls and the Bombers this year no doubt and as well as Wally and the Lions. At least they have a good back up if Jennings gets injured. Then you have the Ti-Cats, I really like Collaros but their D needs to improve.
I am not sure about the Eskimos, like you said their D needs to be better than last season which I am sure it will be but does Reilly have the personnel this season to get the ball too? Not sure about that at all. IMHO I can't back away from Calgary. This team is built to win championships and as long as injuries stay well away from them, I think they make up for last season's debacle.
Ottawa will be ok this season as well IMO.. I will just stay the hell away from Als and Argo's
BOL buddy
Week 1 has some nice match-ups..
Riders @ Alouettes
Stamps @ Redblacks
Eskimos @ Lions
Tiger Cats @ Argos..
Straight off the bat, you would think the Stamps lay a smackdown on the Redblacks after that loss in the Grey Cup. The Cats should eat the Argo's up but who knows. The Eskimos and Lions is a classic match waiting to happen and I have no interest at all in the Riders/Alouettes apart from wanting the Riders to win for my future Als bet..
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Love the insight and thoughts you bring to these forums like the CFL and WNBA. I personally love both these leagues because its not as crazy as the main sports and the guys and girls who post here are 99% genuinely into the league, follow it and bet it and thats the best cappers you will find. People that consistently watch the sport week in week out.
I completely agree with you Indigo on pretty much all counts apart from the Stamps having a letdown. I don't see the Argo's or Als doing much all season. Durant isnt' the savior for the Als and Ray is 83 years old and is injury prone. I do believe in Nicholls and the Bombers this year no doubt and as well as Wally and the Lions. At least they have a good back up if Jennings gets injured. Then you have the Ti-Cats, I really like Collaros but their D needs to improve.
I am not sure about the Eskimos, like you said their D needs to be better than last season which I am sure it will be but does Reilly have the personnel this season to get the ball too? Not sure about that at all. IMHO I can't back away from Calgary. This team is built to win championships and as long as injuries stay well away from them, I think they make up for last season's debacle.
Ottawa will be ok this season as well IMO.. I will just stay the hell away from Als and Argo's
BOL buddy
Week 1 has some nice match-ups..
Riders @ Alouettes
Stamps @ Redblacks
Eskimos @ Lions
Tiger Cats @ Argos..
Straight off the bat, you would think the Stamps lay a smackdown on the Redblacks after that loss in the Grey Cup. The Cats should eat the Argo's up but who knows. The Eskimos and Lions is a classic match waiting to happen and I have no interest at all in the Riders/Alouettes apart from wanting the Riders to win for my future Als bet..
Thanks for starting this thread Indigo. Just curious. What exactly makes you think that the two teams that played in the grey cup last year will regress?
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Thanks for starting this thread Indigo. Just curious. What exactly makes you think that the two teams that played in the grey cup last year will regress?
Double, if you have a farm, I would bet it that the Als don't win >10.
Otherwise put your wife and kids as collateral and hammer that play, and if they refuse, then borrow Freakyfreddies wife, I've heard she will.....
I've watched Durrant play for the couple of years that I've watched CFL football,...maybe he was a good player at one time, but I haven't seen it. QBs are even more important than the NFL in the CFL.
As far as regression goes, it seems to be a prevalent thing in all sporting codes that the next year the two finalists regress....I am sure you'd be able to come up with examples of exceptions to the rule, like the Lynx this year. Maybe I ate a bad piece of pepperoni when I was talking about the Stamps as they have been very dominant, we'll see. I'm pretty strongly opinionated on all the premises I've laid out for the season above with the exception of the Stampeders regressing.
All in all, the CFL has been a dog league, and if one doesn't like playing dogs you probably shouldn't be betting this code of football.
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Double, if you have a farm, I would bet it that the Als don't win >10.
Otherwise put your wife and kids as collateral and hammer that play, and if they refuse, then borrow Freakyfreddies wife, I've heard she will.....
I've watched Durrant play for the couple of years that I've watched CFL football,...maybe he was a good player at one time, but I haven't seen it. QBs are even more important than the NFL in the CFL.
As far as regression goes, it seems to be a prevalent thing in all sporting codes that the next year the two finalists regress....I am sure you'd be able to come up with examples of exceptions to the rule, like the Lynx this year. Maybe I ate a bad piece of pepperoni when I was talking about the Stamps as they have been very dominant, we'll see. I'm pretty strongly opinionated on all the premises I've laid out for the season above with the exception of the Stampeders regressing.
All in all, the CFL has been a dog league, and if one doesn't like playing dogs you probably shouldn't be betting this code of football.
As far as week one goes,...finals revenge can be huge....when the Minnesota Vikings of my youth lost in the Super Bowl (which happened frequently), they would always get next season revenge on the champs.....the Chiefs, Steelers etc.
Mister Vegas knows that so to get people off of the Stamps I'm guessing they'll make the Stampeders -4.5 in Ottawa.....I won't be going there unless they made the Stamps dogs or favorites of less than a field goal.
I'm hoping they'll make the Eskimos +4 in BC and the RRs +4 in Montreal, in which case I'm dogging 'em.
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As far as week one goes,...finals revenge can be huge....when the Minnesota Vikings of my youth lost in the Super Bowl (which happened frequently), they would always get next season revenge on the champs.....the Chiefs, Steelers etc.
Mister Vegas knows that so to get people off of the Stamps I'm guessing they'll make the Stampeders -4.5 in Ottawa.....I won't be going there unless they made the Stamps dogs or favorites of less than a field goal.
I'm hoping they'll make the Eskimos +4 in BC and the RRs +4 in Montreal, in which case I'm dogging 'em.
I have them now just making sure no big name gets hurt.
I only see one close game , the rest will be at least a TD , that doesn't mean that's who I'm playing but I like to see how close mine are to the books.
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I have them now just making sure no big name gets hurt.
I only see one close game , the rest will be at least a TD , that doesn't mean that's who I'm playing but I like to see how close mine are to the books.
1st week lines should be out within the next couple of days.
I expect the Stamps to be about -3 over the Redblacks....if they are less than that I will be taking Calgary.
Monreal's big win in the their final exhibition game as well as the RR loss will set them up to be about 6 point favorites to the Roughriders.
Guessing BC to be about 4 point favorites over the Eskimos.
Will the Argos actually be favored over the Cats? Perhaps with the new coaching staff for Toronto there is optimism.....I'd make the Argos -1 over the TCs. If Toronto is a dog I might take them. The default play for me is alway dogs and unders and then I look for data that tells me otherwise.
Teams that finished with a worse record that their present game opponent last year and are home favorites have been 10-27 ATS first five weeks of the season. I'd be taking Hamilton is they are a dog in week 1. Argos were 5-13 last year and Tiger Cats were 7-11.
However, if that team with the worse regular season record is a home dog in the first three weeks, they have been 18-7.
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1st week lines should be out within the next couple of days.
I expect the Stamps to be about -3 over the Redblacks....if they are less than that I will be taking Calgary.
Monreal's big win in the their final exhibition game as well as the RR loss will set them up to be about 6 point favorites to the Roughriders.
Guessing BC to be about 4 point favorites over the Eskimos.
Will the Argos actually be favored over the Cats? Perhaps with the new coaching staff for Toronto there is optimism.....I'd make the Argos -1 over the TCs. If Toronto is a dog I might take them. The default play for me is alway dogs and unders and then I look for data that tells me otherwise.
Teams that finished with a worse record that their present game opponent last year and are home favorites have been 10-27 ATS first five weeks of the season. I'd be taking Hamilton is they are a dog in week 1. Argos were 5-13 last year and Tiger Cats were 7-11.
However, if that team with the worse regular season record is a home dog in the first three weeks, they have been 18-7.
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