CFL playoffs

Question

Season to date 64-35....last week 3-3.Playoffs are upon us.  Using my database, teams as home favorites in the playoffs with a better record than their opponent have been poor plays against the spread.1)  Winnipeg &#x2B;4&#x27;Teams that throw the ball well are usually good plays on the road as offense wins on the road and defense wins at home in football.  I think Edmonton has a chance to win and cover a couple of games  in a row2)  Edmonton -2&#x27;We&#x27;ll continue to play regression plays in the playoffs in regards to totals,...both BC and the Peggers have been OVER teams for the 2016 season.3)  Winnipeg/BC UNDER 55Will wait until closer to game time to check weather before making a bet on the total in the Ham/Ed game.  Evidently wind is an issue at this time of year in the Hamilton area.Good fortune to everyone,.......this forum has been wonderful so far and I&#x27;ve improved my handicapping by the kindness of others on this forum.  Those chipping in that I may not have had time to respond to, I appreciate it.

Indigo999 · Answer

Season to date 64-35....last week 3-3.Playoffs are upon us.  Using my database, teams as home favorites in the playoffs with a better record than their opponent have been poor plays against the spread.1)  Winnipeg &#x2B;4&#x27;Teams that throw the ball well are usually good plays on the road as offense wins on the road and defense wins at home in football.  I think Edmonton has a chance to win and cover a couple of games  in a row2)  Edmonton -2&#x27;We&#x27;ll continue to play regression plays in the playoffs in regards to totals,...both BC and the Peggers have been OVER teams for the 2016 season.3)  Winnipeg/BC UNDER 55Will wait until closer to game time to check weather before making a bet on the total in the Ham/Ed game.  Evidently wind is an issue at this time of year in the Hamilton area.Good fortune to everyone,.......this forum has been wonderful so far and I&#x27;ve improved my handicapping by the kindness of others on this forum.  Those chipping in that I may not have had time to respond to, I appreciate it.

freakyfreddies · Answer

Just hope BC wins by 3 or less I agree Winnipeg will cover and Edmonton will finish as Grey Cup contenders for the east. Go Wally Go

eastcoast305 · Answer

Eskimos -2 looks good. Although the season started out a little rough they have turned it around a bit and should get this one

Indigo999 · Answer

Did some further research on the playoffs.Teams with a scoring margin better than their opponent as home favorites in the playoffs have been 0-7 in their first round games.In regards to the Peg/Lion game where the line is 4-.....teams with a better average margin than their opponents have won their game by greater than 4 points 8 times and not won by greater than 4 points 22 times in the history of my database going back to 2008.The Lions average scoring  margin this year is 5.06The Bombers average  scoring margin this year is 2.39Teams that are home favorites with a better record their past 6 games have been 1-5-1 ATS in round 1.  Two of the 7 games the home favorite won by 5 or more.  The Bombers were 3-3 their last six, and the Lions were 4-2.Teams that have won &gt;2 out of their last 6 games of the season in the first week of the playoffs @H have been 2-9-2 ATS (Lions).Teams that have won &lt;3 out of their last 6 have been 3-0 ATS (Tiger Cats).

Indigo999 · Answer

Teams with a scoring margin worse than their opponents&#x27; playing  @Home in the playoffs have been 9-3 straight up and 8-4 ATS.The Tiger Cats average margin was 0.28 this yearThe Eskimos average margin was 2.94.

thirdperson · Answer

Generally, CFL underdogs tend to cover pointspread more often than not. Also playoffs tend to be competitive close games instead of one sided blowouts. However most people believe in favourites BC and Edmonton based on strong concensus.

bold27 · Answer

Good luck

Indigo999 · Answer

1)  Winnipeg &#x2B;4&#x27;  Win2)  Edmonton -2&#x27; Win3)  UNDER Win/BC Lose (by a lot)Season to date 66-36.Sheesh!  If I had played only these picks I would now be the leader of the Covers CFL contest.D&#x27;Oh!!

CFL playoffs

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