CFL Week 11

YTD: 10-10

Should have been on SSK rather than the over last week but such is life.


Calgary -3

Calgary is waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay better than they showed last week. That was just a pathetic performance at home essentially not showing up, committing penalties, turnovers, bad special teams play you name it. I look for a big bounce back this week because really they are too good, too well coached, and have too many veterans to not respond. Before last week they were rolling and looking like the best team in the league. I thought they would play flat last week and Edmonton would play strong but I didn't see a home spanking on labour day in the cards. Calgary plays better on the road too, 4-0 this year and 6-3 last year. They seemed to get flustered at home when the crowd gets restless, just look at Burris giving it to the crowd last week and throwing a pick on the next play.

Last week was the week to play on Edmonton coming off a bye and potentially being overlooked by a better Calgary team. This week Calgary will come in pissed and their sole intention will be beating the team they've lost to twice at home already. Stamps is back but often when big stars come back there is an adjustment period of a week or two. Love the fact this is a short week too as the beating and bitter taste will still be very fresh in Calgary's mouths.


More later.

yes sir, like the over too, i think the short rest hurts the defense's. could be tired in the 2nd half

Unsure of side...but agree with what your saying.

like it Mac-------------------Laid the 3 and even money to boot on this game.

Good write up... GL holmes

Toronto +7.5

I'm not buying the idea of BC as a big fav (then again I didn't by them as a road fav last week either). It just seems like a flat spot here off of a couple big wins to turn their season around with games @ Calgary and @ Saskatchewan the next two weeks. They just beat the piss out of Toronto I'm not sure the motivation will be there to do the same two weeks in a row.

Toronto has nothing to lose here. They changed their defensive coordinator a couple weeks ago and then this week made the biggest change by not just changing QB's by but cutting their starter outright. I did like the fact Cleo was completing passes and not turning it over but it became evident Toronto wasn't good enough as a whole where they could afford to have a game manager like that. He was probably cut because of the pouting but Toronto doesn't go out and get a guy like Jyles in the offseason if they have full confidence in Cleo. Cutting him also likely serves as a shot across the bow to everyone else that jobs are on the line and if you don't give it all to this team you'll end up on the street.

I think all along Jyles was going to get a long look. He's probably a better fit for this team because he can stretch the field which Cleo couldn't and he can also run which will help extend drives and chew clock. Toronto was pounded in time of possession last week, this week I look for them to come out and mix up their plays to extend drives and keep their defense off the field. Much better situation here for the Argos as road dogs too. They are now 11-4 ATS as road dogs of +5.5 or more the last 2 years with one non-cover coming by 1 point. I bet on this team in a similar spot in week 5 and Week 7 and won both times.



Montreal -5

I still think the Als are down this year but feel Hamilton is walking into a buzzsaw here. Not only is Montreal at home off two losses but they are coming off a blowout loss and have lost to Hamilton twice already this year. Montreal was really bad last week, probably their worst loss in a long time. They looked old, ill-prepared, and undisciplined. Oddly enough I think those things benefit them this week. They are a veteran club who should come out strong looking to atone for that stinker. They also have the best coach in the league who will no doubt be getting his guys in line and drawing up a great gameplan.

Hamilton played their best game of the year last week and I always look to fade teams after that especially after an emotional win which that game was. They were at home on Labour Day, the Champs were in town, Otis Floyd was there having his number retired. The energy was in favor of the Cats and I think they just wanted the game more. Now they have to go on the road into a hostile environment to face a team that I feel will want this one more.

I keep getting flashbacks to last year when Montreal got hammered in Calgary and then came home the next week and beat the crap out of the Stamps in the rematch.


GL this week guys.

should have read your writeups before playing the whole board this week------------lots of stuff that makes sense

So nice, I'll win twice:

Montreal +2 (2nd half)

Montreal is going to blow these guys out after what happened last week. I don't see any let up at all.