Terrible week in week two for myself. I had no problem with my Montreal play. After Duron Carter scored that TD to get them right back into the game about halfway through the third quarter, he then proceeded to be a complete idiot and get thrown out of the game. With SJ Green already out, the Als were subsequently left without, probably, their two best offensive weapons. That little altercation along the Ottawa sideline completely changed the dynamic of that game. That is the sort of thing you simply cannot cap. Ottawa still outplayed them and deserved to win, but who knows what would've happen had Duron Carter not been a complete jackass.
The play on Winnipeg was just dumb. I am not afraid to admit I made a terrible pick there. Calgary dominated that game. We will see what the Stamps are made of this week when they travel to the nation's capital, but I could've had a completely wrong read on this team. I was going back and forth on whether or not to play Winnipeg last week. I lost a little of my discipline and made a bad play. It happens! I move on.
Here are my numbers of what I deem the fair lines to be for week 3:
Winnipeg +7.5 at Hamilton
Toronto +5.5 at BC
Calgary +3.5 at Ottawa
Saskatchewan +9 at Edmonton
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 1-3 -2.44 units
Terrible week in week two for myself. I had no problem with my Montreal play. After Duron Carter scored that TD to get them right back into the game about halfway through the third quarter, he then proceeded to be a complete idiot and get thrown out of the game. With SJ Green already out, the Als were subsequently left without, probably, their two best offensive weapons. That little altercation along the Ottawa sideline completely changed the dynamic of that game. That is the sort of thing you simply cannot cap. Ottawa still outplayed them and deserved to win, but who knows what would've happen had Duron Carter not been a complete jackass.
The play on Winnipeg was just dumb. I am not afraid to admit I made a terrible pick there. Calgary dominated that game. We will see what the Stamps are made of this week when they travel to the nation's capital, but I could've had a completely wrong read on this team. I was going back and forth on whether or not to play Winnipeg last week. I lost a little of my discipline and made a bad play. It happens! I move on.
Here are my numbers of what I deem the fair lines to be for week 3:
Good luck D.T,....had the Blue Bombers too,....sickening. When we pick a loser it often seems we could have been smarter or luckier.
I might consider playing them down the road (and perhaps SSK) after they've gotten a few games under their belt. Their coach has a pretty crummy overall record and I'm taking teams with coaches for the time being that have a good track record.
Good fortune this week.
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Good luck D.T,....had the Blue Bombers too,....sickening. When we pick a loser it often seems we could have been smarter or luckier.
I might consider playing them down the road (and perhaps SSK) after they've gotten a few games under their belt. Their coach has a pretty crummy overall record and I'm taking teams with coaches for the time being that have a good track record.
We shall see how the Ticats respond after getting stomped by the Lions a week ago. If they are indeed to bounce back this week, they are probably facing the right opponent to do so at the moment. The Bombers come into this game reeling, having lost their first two games by a combined 58-36 score. Their offense has looked abysmal and their defense was absolutely shredded by the Stamps last week. They are playing in their second straight road game before they head home and host the defending champs next week at Investors Group Field. Not really an ideal situation for a reeling team facing a Hamilton squad that will be looking for redemption after getting waxed in their home opener.
I would indeed be looking towards laying the points with the home side on Thursday, but I cannot be laying almost double digits with a Jeremiah Masoli lead team. Yes, he had a solid game against the Argos. His surface stats were impressive, but as I was watching that opener against Toronto, I couldn't help but notice how inaccurate this guy is. He was missing wide open receivers, badly in some instances. The first TD he threw in that game to Andy Fantuz should've been intercepted. In Fact, the Argos probably could have had 3 or 4 INTs in that game had someone stepped up and made a play or two. We saw what happened to him last week against what appears to be a solid defensive team. They made him pay for his errors. Yes, he is facing the Bombers this week, but if he struggles, I wouldn't be surprised to see Jeff Mathews in this game at some point. On a side note, I believe the Ticats should find a way to get CJ Gable more touches.
No way can I back the Bombers this week, but I am just not interested in laying this many points with Hamilton either, especially against a team who's stock is really low right now. Lean Hamilton and the under here, but no strong opinion on anything in this game.
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Winnipeg at Hamilton -9 O/U 52
We shall see how the Ticats respond after getting stomped by the Lions a week ago. If they are indeed to bounce back this week, they are probably facing the right opponent to do so at the moment. The Bombers come into this game reeling, having lost their first two games by a combined 58-36 score. Their offense has looked abysmal and their defense was absolutely shredded by the Stamps last week. They are playing in their second straight road game before they head home and host the defending champs next week at Investors Group Field. Not really an ideal situation for a reeling team facing a Hamilton squad that will be looking for redemption after getting waxed in their home opener.
I would indeed be looking towards laying the points with the home side on Thursday, but I cannot be laying almost double digits with a Jeremiah Masoli lead team. Yes, he had a solid game against the Argos. His surface stats were impressive, but as I was watching that opener against Toronto, I couldn't help but notice how inaccurate this guy is. He was missing wide open receivers, badly in some instances. The first TD he threw in that game to Andy Fantuz should've been intercepted. In Fact, the Argos probably could have had 3 or 4 INTs in that game had someone stepped up and made a play or two. We saw what happened to him last week against what appears to be a solid defensive team. They made him pay for his errors. Yes, he is facing the Bombers this week, but if he struggles, I wouldn't be surprised to see Jeff Mathews in this game at some point. On a side note, I believe the Ticats should find a way to get CJ Gable more touches.
No way can I back the Bombers this week, but I am just not interested in laying this many points with Hamilton either, especially against a team who's stock is really low right now. Lean Hamilton and the under here, but no strong opinion on anything in this game.
The Argos looked like a dumpster fire in week one against Hamilton, and then I was upset when I didn't play them last week when they won in Regina by double digits as three point road underdogs. So what do we have with the Argos here? I still believe the jury is out on these guys, but I do believe they will get better and better by the week. They will need to be on their "A" game this week, as they play consecutive road games for the first time this season against a team that is playing some solid defensive football right now. Tough to say that the Boatmen will be looking past an undefeated opponent this week, but they do host undefeated divisional rival Ottawa next week at BMO. Potential flat spot for the Argos in BC this week.
After avenging a humiliating playoff defeat from last season in week one against Calgary, and then travelling to Hamilton and handing the Ticats their proverbial lunch in their home opener, this BC teams' stock is really high for the time being. Significant for myself because I like to take a buy low, sell high approach to sports investing. Also, in the matter of a couple weeks, the Lions will have travelled from one side of the country to the other and back again. Canada is a very large country, so they have certainly racked up some frequent flyer miles early on this season.
I love the way this BC team is playing defensively early on this season. I believe they will keep it rolling this week, but I am just not willing to pay to find out given the circumstances and how I approach things.
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Toronto at BC -5 O/U 50
The Argos looked like a dumpster fire in week one against Hamilton, and then I was upset when I didn't play them last week when they won in Regina by double digits as three point road underdogs. So what do we have with the Argos here? I still believe the jury is out on these guys, but I do believe they will get better and better by the week. They will need to be on their "A" game this week, as they play consecutive road games for the first time this season against a team that is playing some solid defensive football right now. Tough to say that the Boatmen will be looking past an undefeated opponent this week, but they do host undefeated divisional rival Ottawa next week at BMO. Potential flat spot for the Argos in BC this week.
After avenging a humiliating playoff defeat from last season in week one against Calgary, and then travelling to Hamilton and handing the Ticats their proverbial lunch in their home opener, this BC teams' stock is really high for the time being. Significant for myself because I like to take a buy low, sell high approach to sports investing. Also, in the matter of a couple weeks, the Lions will have travelled from one side of the country to the other and back again. Canada is a very large country, so they have certainly racked up some frequent flyer miles early on this season.
I love the way this BC team is playing defensively early on this season. I believe they will keep it rolling this week, but I am just not willing to pay to find out given the circumstances and how I approach things.
I know it is only week 3, but we could very well be seeing a Grey Cup preview this week when the Stamps travel to Ottawa to take on the Redblacks. I am aware that it is still very early in the season, but I will be the first to admit that I could have been very wrong about this Stampeders team. They lost a ton of production on offense in the offseason, but it looks to me that other guys were prepared to step up this season. Defensively is where I thought they may have felt the impact of key losses the most, but this defensive unit through two games looks very stellar. I know they played Winnipeg last week, and they will be greatly tested by Trevor Harris, Chris Williams, and company this week, but I have been impressed by this Stamps defense thus far. They probably should be 2-0 if it were not for Chris Rainey's punt return for a touchdown in week 1.
This Ottawa team just continues to get zero respect from the oddsmakers. A win this week would go a long way in changing that. Trevor Harris is actually better than the reigning MOP, Henry Burris. What he has done since coming in has been nothing short of spectacular. He has made Chris Williams a star in this league, letting him utilize his speed to the utmost advantage. I still believe their defense to be a work in progress. It just may be unnoticeable for now simply because of the numbers their offense are putting up. No doubt, that unit will be tested this week.
It is hard to not see some value with the Redblacks at a pick in their home opener this week. That being said, I am not about to invest in a 2-0 team that has looked very good out of the gate. Oddsmakers are giving the Stamps a strong line here, and I am having a hard time seeing how Ottawa can be a pick/slight dog as a 2-0 team on their home field. This really is a game that I am just going to sit back, watch, and enjoy. No strong opinion on a side here, although from a value standpoint, it is all with the home side. The under could be worth a look here. 52.5 is a little bit high if you ask me, but I am not a huge totals guy in this league just quite yet.
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Calgary at Ottawa PK O/U 52.5
I know it is only week 3, but we could very well be seeing a Grey Cup preview this week when the Stamps travel to Ottawa to take on the Redblacks. I am aware that it is still very early in the season, but I will be the first to admit that I could have been very wrong about this Stampeders team. They lost a ton of production on offense in the offseason, but it looks to me that other guys were prepared to step up this season. Defensively is where I thought they may have felt the impact of key losses the most, but this defensive unit through two games looks very stellar. I know they played Winnipeg last week, and they will be greatly tested by Trevor Harris, Chris Williams, and company this week, but I have been impressed by this Stamps defense thus far. They probably should be 2-0 if it were not for Chris Rainey's punt return for a touchdown in week 1.
This Ottawa team just continues to get zero respect from the oddsmakers. A win this week would go a long way in changing that. Trevor Harris is actually better than the reigning MOP, Henry Burris. What he has done since coming in has been nothing short of spectacular. He has made Chris Williams a star in this league, letting him utilize his speed to the utmost advantage. I still believe their defense to be a work in progress. It just may be unnoticeable for now simply because of the numbers their offense are putting up. No doubt, that unit will be tested this week.
It is hard to not see some value with the Redblacks at a pick in their home opener this week. That being said, I am not about to invest in a 2-0 team that has looked very good out of the gate. Oddsmakers are giving the Stamps a strong line here, and I am having a hard time seeing how Ottawa can be a pick/slight dog as a 2-0 team on their home field. This really is a game that I am just going to sit back, watch, and enjoy. No strong opinion on a side here, although from a value standpoint, it is all with the home side. The under could be worth a look here. 52.5 is a little bit high if you ask me, but I am not a huge totals guy in this league just quite yet.
In perhaps the most intriguing matchup of week three, Chris Jones comes back to Edmonton with his Roughriders team to challenge his former team who he guided to a Grey Cup championship less than a year ago. Yes, he did come back already in the preseason, but that game didn't mean anything. This game is going to be real.
The Chris Jones era got off to a tough start last week as the Argos came into Regina and spoiled the party. Turnovers really cost the Riders in that game. Toronto got a defensive fumble return for a TD, and the Riders also turned the ball over in the red zone another time. They really did deserve a better fate in that game as they out first downed Toronto 24-11, outgained the Argos 385-245, and held the ball for over 36 minutes. All of these things are recipes for success. Darian Durant looked solid in his return to QB for this team as well. He threw for 310 yards and a TD. I like the way this team performed despite the double digit loss on the scoreboard.
The Eskimos come into this game off a bye week, and although their first bye came only in week 2, it may have came at a very good time for this team as they get settled in with Jason Maas. They lost a game that they perhaps should have won in week one against Ottawa in a Grey Cup rematch. The bye week should have let this team recharge after that dramatic game, regain their composure, and start preparing for their former coach. Hopefully, the extra week off let them try to fix that rebuilt secondary that was absolutely shredded by the Ottawa Redblacks.
It seems to me that the Roughriders are a work in progress, and that it will take some time for this team to come together. However, they do appear to be headed in a solid direction under Chris Jones. I just don't like the situation they find themselves up against this week. They hit the road for the first time this season to play the rested defending champs who have had a couple of weeks to stew over that disappointing loss from week one. I feel the Esks were embarrassed by their defensive performance in week one, and they will be eager to redeem themselves. You know the champs will be fired up to play the guy who walked out on them a couple weeks after he guided them to a Grey Cup championship. Ten points is a lot to lay in week 3 of the season, but I like the ingredients that are in place for a bounce back at home from the champs. I fully expect Edmonton to come out and play hard this week.
Play: Edmonton Eskimos -10
Risking: 1.06 units to win 1 unit
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Saskatchewan at Edmonton -10 O/U 52
In perhaps the most intriguing matchup of week three, Chris Jones comes back to Edmonton with his Roughriders team to challenge his former team who he guided to a Grey Cup championship less than a year ago. Yes, he did come back already in the preseason, but that game didn't mean anything. This game is going to be real.
The Chris Jones era got off to a tough start last week as the Argos came into Regina and spoiled the party. Turnovers really cost the Riders in that game. Toronto got a defensive fumble return for a TD, and the Riders also turned the ball over in the red zone another time. They really did deserve a better fate in that game as they out first downed Toronto 24-11, outgained the Argos 385-245, and held the ball for over 36 minutes. All of these things are recipes for success. Darian Durant looked solid in his return to QB for this team as well. He threw for 310 yards and a TD. I like the way this team performed despite the double digit loss on the scoreboard.
The Eskimos come into this game off a bye week, and although their first bye came only in week 2, it may have came at a very good time for this team as they get settled in with Jason Maas. They lost a game that they perhaps should have won in week one against Ottawa in a Grey Cup rematch. The bye week should have let this team recharge after that dramatic game, regain their composure, and start preparing for their former coach. Hopefully, the extra week off let them try to fix that rebuilt secondary that was absolutely shredded by the Ottawa Redblacks.
It seems to me that the Roughriders are a work in progress, and that it will take some time for this team to come together. However, they do appear to be headed in a solid direction under Chris Jones. I just don't like the situation they find themselves up against this week. They hit the road for the first time this season to play the rested defending champs who have had a couple of weeks to stew over that disappointing loss from week one. I feel the Esks were embarrassed by their defensive performance in week one, and they will be eager to redeem themselves. You know the champs will be fired up to play the guy who walked out on them a couple weeks after he guided them to a Grey Cup championship. Ten points is a lot to lay in week 3 of the season, but I like the ingredients that are in place for a bounce back at home from the champs. I fully expect Edmonton to come out and play hard this week.
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