Toronto +7.5
I'm not sure how Hamilton can be trusted here. Every time these guys have even moderate expectations on them whether it be regarding a season or a game they end up shitting themselves. Since 2006 their 8-18 ATS & 8-18 SU records as a favorite are truly pathetic. This is the 2nd biggest fav they have been during that time and in the first instance they lost SU at home as a -8.5 fav failing to score a single point in the 2nd half. I can't remember the last time I've seen a .500 team lay this many points.
Toronto comes in here on a long losing streak as a big dog, one of the most dangerous pointspread spots in football because they usually play loose with nothing to lose and the favorite takes them lightly. The Argos get a big boost this week as their best player in Boyd returns and will no doubt bring with him his infectious energy that has been missing in recent weeks. Don't look but 'ol Cleo hasn't been playing that bad lately. He's actually 4th in the league in completion % and comes off a 340 yard game, maybe he's finally finding his comfort zone. Nice spot here for Toronto too as a big dog as they shown they can hang in these spots going 10-4 ATS the last two years as a +5.5 or more dog with one no cover coming by half a point.
Love the card this week and will probably play every game, just waiting to see if I can catch a small line move or two.