CFL WEEK 9 (21-10)

The Tiger-Cats barely snuck away with a win against the RedBlacks after a rain/storm delay and the Argos wiped the the seas with my Green Riders. The Elks are a complete embarrassment to to the city of Edmonton and the CFL and got shutout for a 2nd time in the span of 42 days to the same team (BC), breaking the North American record for most consecutive home losses with 21.  Coincidentally, the Elks last home win was against BC way back in Oct/2019.  Thankfully they can't lose this week.  And to end off the week we had a field goal fest of the ages between Calgary and Montreal!  12 field goals combined, 43 total points scored in the game with 36 points coming via field goal.  Wow.

All picks moneyline:


WINNIPEG
The Bombers got embarrassed by the Lions back in week 3 by a score of 30-6.  There are a couple of different things about this game then the game they played in week 3.  The Bombers are coming off a bye and teams off the bye are 8-1 this year and you have to believe they haven't forgotten the beating they took in week 3 on their home turf where they rarely lose.  Winnipeg will want to make a statement and defend IG Field with revenge on their mind.  BC also doesn't have their starting QB (but he is 'available'), but a very serviceable backup in Dane Evans.  Winnipeg also didn't have Kenny Lawler back in week 3, but he's back now and is playing like his career is on the line.  Just this week he said his goal is 2,000 receiving yards this year and he missed the 1st 6 games.  I believe the Bombers will correct their O line issues and be much better this week at protecting Collaros.  That is still a great O line.  Winnipeg will be hungry this game.
27-17 Bombers


TORONTO
The Argos flexed their muscles in Touchdown Atlantic against the Riders.  They got up 21-0 quick, but after that their offense sputtered and couldn't do anything but their defense and special teams lifted up the poor play of the offense.  That is a sign of a great team.  The Stamps on the other hand can put up a ton of yards but can't find the end zone (last week) nor finish off and win games.  The Stamps are getting their top defender Tre Roberson back from injury which will help them but they need all of the help they can get.  I won't be betting against Toronto until they prove to me otherwise, they are cruising through everyone so far.  It sucks that the Argos only play the Bombers once this year.  Argos offense will come to play after the poor showing last week.  CRAZY STAT: BC has only allowed 94 points this year in 7 games, and 45 of those points came against the Argos!
34-17 Argos


MONTREAL
If Bo Levi didn't get injured on the 2nd last play of the game while kneeling the ball then I'd be on Hamilton this game.  But with Taylor Powell starting give me the Alouettes.  Such a silly and unnecessary injury.  The Alouettes have a great defense as we seen holding Calgary to 6 field goals and no TDs last week.  Hamilton played good D against Crum last week but it was a sloppy game with the weather elements.  Montreal will pound Stanbeck, and Fajardo and Mack are forming some great chemistry with each other.  Montreal plays better defense then Hamilton and has a more higher powered offense with their starting QB, whereas the Ti-Cats are playing their 3rd string QB.  Hamilton also has a pretty lengthy injury report.  If I end up betting this game then it'll be a small degen bet with the 3 other games this week.
25-20 Alouettes

SASKATCHEWAN
This is a game where both teams are playing their backup QBs.  The Riders have been in a slump ever since losing Harris but their defense and special teams have been playing great.  I like the Riders to win this game.  Their defense will stifle Crum and the 13th man (crowd) will be a factor.  Ottawa has a pretty bad pass defense but can the Riders take advantage?  I think they will, they have the WRs to do so and Fine is getting more comfortable.  Ottawa has a great pass rush so the Riders will need to get the ball out of Fine's hands quick and run to setup some play action and take some deep shots.  Riders in an ugly, defenisve game.
19-16 Roughriders


Good luck!


TEASER: went 2-0 last week, 5-0 overall

TEASER: (5.5 pts):
WPG -0.5
TOR -2.5


BYE WEEK: Edmonton, do they ever need it!  They've already demoted McAdoo from offensive play calling and promoted Jarious Jackson (played QB for BC in his younger years).  That is a huge upgrade in my opinion as McAdoo is an AWFUL offensive coordinator (I know from his time in Saskatchewan).  And finally, Cornelius got benched and either Doege or Ford will start.  Start Tre Ford please!  It's possible Edmonton doesn't win a game all year.  Who can they beat?  They already got their @$$ handed to them by the RedBlacks by 19 points and lost to the Ti-Cats by 8.  They play the Riders once more this year, makes me a bit nervous.  :)


MY POWER RANKINGS AFTER WEEK 8 (number in brackets shows previous weeks ranking):
1)Toronto (1)
2)BC (2)
3)Winnipeg (3)
4)Montreal (5)
5)Ottawa (4)
6)Calgary (7)
7)Saskatchewan (6)
8)Hamilton (8)
9)Edmonton (9)

Toronto, BC and Winnipeg remain unchanged again, but Winnipeg has a chance to overtake BC for 2nd if they beat BC this week in impressive fashion.  As for teams 4-8, you can almost put these in any order and it would make sense, these 5 teams are so similar.  Montreal overtakes Ottawa swapping spots, same with Calgary overtaking Saskatchewan. Hamilton stays in 8th and Edmonton forever in 9th.

Forgot to add I believe the Riders play desperate this week and will come flying out of the gates with a ton of energy and emotion.  This is a must win game for my green Riders and they'll feed off the crowd.

The Bombers and Riders come out to play this week with extra motivation. 

I don't bet props but Lawler over receiving yards should be money this week. 

Good luck everyone.

@slushie007

 Good stuff! 

Bro, great stuff. Please keep posting. 

Thanks Flyguy1700 and MandalayJay

Winnipeg showed up in a big way last night.  Collaros played like he wanted to embarrass BC for what they did to them back in week 3 and was constantly looking for and hitting the intermediate/deep ball.  Collaros played great, and so did the O line.  And the defense.  

Lawler had 7 receptions for 200 yards and 1 TD.  I believe he had over 100 yards by halftime. 

The Stamps could dig themselves a really huge hole this next month.  They play the Argos twice, along with the Lions and Bombers in their next 4 games.  They play a pissed off BC team in BC next week who just got smacked around in Winnipeg and got a 50 burger put up on them.  Lord have mercy on their souls.

I don't like trends especially since a lot of things changing with teams year after year, especially with some trends going yearsssss back, but will throw some out for the folks that do.

Calgary has beaten Toronto 14 of the past 15 times they've played each other.  

Montreal has won 4 of the past 5 games against Hamilton (lots has changed though; Montreal with a new QB, Hamilton playing their 3rd string QB, coaching changes in Montreal, etc).

The Riders have not trailed at any point in their previous three games against the RedBlacks (again; both teams with different QBs, coaches, systems, etc).

Good luck everyone.

@slushie007

 On the money bro. Preciate the write up. Do you think the Argos come out tonight with revenge on their minds? From last year’s loss to the Stamps 29-2.

great stuff slushie. incredible season. go riders tomorrow

MandalayJay sorry bro, I was at the Queen City Ex in Regina (which is basically connected to Mosaic Stadium) it's a fair that comes to Regina once a year for 5 days.  It's got a ton of rides, exhibits, carnie games and more importantly a lot of greasy unhealthy food. 

This potentially serves as a distraction to a young RedBlacks team.  There is absolutely nothing to do in Regina other then go to the Casino or go to the fair when it's here once a year.  I've seen visiting players at the Queen City Ex a ton in years past.  Maybe some RedBlacks players went to the fair last night, broke curfew (common thing in the CFL), ate a lot of greasy carnie food and won't be on their game today.  Maybe some Riders players do the same thing, but Coach Dickenson knows better!  Or wait, does he?!

As soon as Chad Kelly went down in the Argos game it was over.  Toronto played flat and uninterested after that.  Also Dinwiddie reminded me of the Riders coach in a moment in this game.  It's 2nd and 2 and you have your rookie backup QB in and 2 of the top RBs in the league.  You throw on 2nd down, then try to throw again on 3rd down and turn the ball over.  C'mon man!

Riders will be missing 5 WRs (Schaffer-Baker, Lenius, Walker, Picton and Brescacin).  They'll just have Jones and Wieneke with Alford playing backup WR.

Not good!  Laying off my green Riders.  No WRs, no QB, no offensive line.  Not a good recipe for success today.

@slushie007

 Ssk looked decent yesterday they were due for a good game. I also got scared off them on the news of missing receivers, darn!