Posted:
#1
This is the basic query:
AD and (p:LHF or op:LHF)
O/U: 84-77-1 (0.84, 52.2%)
I would never advise acting on a query with such a poor winning % and narrow ATS margin. However, the average total is 51.8 points. The total opened at 49.5 per Scores and Odds, and apparently Fezzik's taking the Under has triggered an avalance of money on the Under. The line movement has created value on the Over.
When I checked Heritage, their line was down to 47 (-110 Over, -106 Under). Inserting the 47 points total into the query yields Over 47 - 106 games and Under 47 - 53 games. Z = 4.12 so the Under looks very strong.
If your betting total is 47.5, it's Over 47.5 - 106 games and Under 47.5 - 56 games. Z = 3.85 and still very strong.
I took Over 47/-110 for one unit. Good luck everybody.
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