A simple strategy for wagering on CFL
totals is to take the under. For many gamblers this is blasphemy, as it
is more fun to cheer for points, but the results speak for themselves.
Since 2005, the under in all CFL games has gone 595-507-13 (54.0%). A
$100 bettor blindly wagering on the under would have returned a profit
of $5,843. Not bad.
This straightforward approach to betting the over/under in football
games north of the border gets even better when we look at high-total
games
In games with a closing total of more than 52 points, the under has gone
299-210-6 (58.7%) since 2005. Following this strategy has never
produced a below .500 season. So why is it profitable to bet the under
in high-total games?
For starters, recreational bettors like wagering on the over. In the
1,115 CFL games in our database, a majority of tickets were on the over
in 709 (63.6%) games. Oddsmakers anticipate this tendency and will
inflate the total, forcing casual bettors to take bad lines.
Furthermore, it is easier for a game to go under if there is a high
total — that just makes sense.
So while there are many factors to consider before placing a bet, if you
don’t have the time, an easy approach to wagering on CFL totals is to
take high-total unders. In Week 6 of the 2019 CFL season, three games
match this system
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