Posted:
#1
Hamilton +3.50
Projected Score: Montreal 26 Hamilton 23
Montreal by 3
ATS: Montreal 50% Hamilton 50%
Key Trend: The UNDERDOG is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 head to head meetings in Hamilton.
Note:I ran 2 models on this game. One model has Hamilton winning by 1 point. Another model has Montreal winning by 11 points. But, I figure Montreal might struggle on the road with QB injury problems.So, I guessed Montreal will still win , but not cover the spread.My guess is backed by the head to head ATS trend in Hamilton. Also, I back tested my hypothesis with a popular powerline. They had Hamilton winning by 1 point Grab the home points and fade the champs on the road.
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