Oscar's CFL Selections for Saturday

CFL RECORD TO DATE 2-6 -$1182

I had a winner last night with the Over in the Hamilton/BC game, there are two games on tap today and here is what I took:

494 Toronto -1.55 ML $310 to win $200 & Toronto -3 1/2 -1.03 $206 to win $200-I am a proponent of never laying heavy juice as evidenced by my MLB record which stands below 50% but still shows a hefty profit. However, instead of laying 3 1/2 points in this game, I would rather bite the bullet and play the ML here as well with two pretty pathetic offenses. This will be Toronto's first home game of the year and just to show you the difference between the pointspread and SU over the years check out these stats: Winnipeg is 45-39 ATS since 1996 as underdogs of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points but only 24-60 SU over that period while Toronto is 30-24 ATS as favorites of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points but 40-14 SU. The Argonauts are 16-6 SU in games played at Toronto when taking on Winnipeg and with QB Buck Pierce banged up a bit for the Bluebombers (although he will start) I think the time is right to take the home team here. I am going to split my bet up though between the ML and pointspread just in case Toronto wins but does not cover the spread. Great line value in my opinion as in Week 2 these teams met in Winnipeg and the Bluebombers were 1 point favorites at home which should make Toronto about a 7 or 8 point favorite at home, yet they are only 3 1/2? I'll take the Argonauts to win this game big today. I do think the Under is worth a look but the offenses are overdue to break out so I'll just play the home side.

496 Calgary -3 -1.03 $309 to win $300-Edmonton is on fire and I hate going against a hot team such as the Eskimos but the fact is that they have played nearly perfect on offense this year and have only had 1 turnover in the 3 games. They have had the fortune in taking on two bad defensive teams in Saskatchewan and British Columbia but they have performed well and I won't take anything away from them. Calgary meanwhile has been involved in three barnburner type of games as they lost to Toronto by 2, defeated BC by 2 and then last week came away with a 1 point victory at Winnipeg. A thing lost probably by many people is the fact that although Ricky Ray is playing very well this year, the Eskimo rushing game has contributed as well as they have rushed for over 100 yards in each game this year. Calgary has faced a couple of run oriented offenses in Winnipeg and Toronto and performed fairly well although Boyd of the Argonauts did gain 100 yards in the opener. I look for Calgary to win the turnover battle tonight and Edmonton has struggled recently in games played at Calgary as the Eskimos are only 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games played there as well as only 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. In the opener of the season, Edmonton were 8 point underdogs at Saskatchewan while Calgary were 8 point favorites against Toronto at home and due to the results so far this season, this line is only 3. I am going to lay the point with the Stampeders here.

CFL SATURDAY RECAP 0-3 -$825

494 Toronto -1.55 ML $310 to win $200 & Toronto -3 1/2 -1.03 $206 to win $200 - DOUBLE LOSER-I am a proponent of never laying heavy juice as evidenced by my MLB record which stands below 50% but still shows a hefty profit. However, instead of laying 3 1/2 points in this game, I would rather bite the bullet and play the ML here as well with two pretty pathetic offenses. This will be Toronto's first home game of the year and just to show you the difference between the pointspread and SU over the years check out these stats: Winnipeg is 45-39 ATS since 1996 as underdogs of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points but only 24-60 SU over that period while Toronto is 30-24 ATS as favorites of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points but 40-14 SU. The Argonauts are 16-6 SU in games played at Toronto when taking on Winnipeg and with QB Buck Pierce banged up a bit for the Bluebombers (although he will start) I think the time is right to take the home team here. I am going to split my bet up though between the ML and pointspread just in case Toronto wins but does not cover the spread. Great line value in my opinion as in Week 2 these teams met in Winnipeg and the Bluebombers were 1 point favorites at home which should make Toronto about a 7 or 8 point favorite at home, yet they are only 3 1/2? I'll take the Argonauts to win this game big today. I do think the Under is worth a look but the offenses are overdue to break out so I'll just play the home side.

496 Calgary -3 -1.03 $309 to win $300 - LOSER-Edmonton is on fire and I hate going against a hot team such as the Eskimos but the fact is that they have played nearly perfect on offense this year and have only had 1 turnover in the 3 games. They have had the fortune in taking on two bad defensive teams in Saskatchewan and British Columbia but they have performed well and I won't take anything away from them. Calgary meanwhile has been involved in three barnburner type of games as they lost to Toronto by 2, defeated BC by 2 and then last week came away with a 1 point victory at Winnipeg. A thing lost probably by many people is the fact that although Ricky Ray is playing very well this year, the Eskimo rushing game has contributed as well as they have rushed for over 100 yards in each game this year. Calgary has faced a couple of run oriented offenses in Winnipeg and Toronto and performed fairly well although Boyd of the Argonauts did gain 100 yards in the opener. I look for Calgary to win the turnover battle tonight and Edmonton has struggled recently in games played at Calgary as the Eskimos are only 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games played there as well as only 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. In the opener of the season, Edmonton were 8 point underdogs at Saskatchewan while Calgary were 8 point favorites against Toronto at home and due to the results so far this season, this line is only 3. I am going to lay the point with the Stampeders here.

CFL RECORD TO DATE 2-9 -$2007