Las Vegas just called and wanted me to make the lines on next week's round 2 playoffs games.....so I said "sure, perhaps this'll be a permanent gig, right?"
Not exactly.
I'm booking the games with these lines......
Toronto +2.5 and Calgary -8
The last three years the road team in this round has been 0-6 ATS/SU and every game of the six have gone OVER.
Average score? .......23.2-40.
Overall, since 2007 the hosting East Division teams have been 7-3 ATS and 7-3 OVER in this round only...average score 32.2-21.1
The West Division teams have been 5-4-1 and 5-5 OVER, average score 29.4-23.7 in this round only.
And lastly, this is interesting,...the lower seeded team if they won on the road and is now on the road in round 2 has been 0-5-1 ATS, 0-6 SU and 4-2 OVER....average score 17.5-36.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Las Vegas just called and wanted me to make the lines on next week's round 2 playoffs games.....so I said "sure, perhaps this'll be a permanent gig, right?"
Not exactly.
I'm booking the games with these lines......
Toronto +2.5 and Calgary -8
The last three years the road team in this round has been 0-6 ATS/SU and every game of the six have gone OVER.
Average score? .......23.2-40.
Overall, since 2007 the hosting East Division teams have been 7-3 ATS and 7-3 OVER in this round only...average score 32.2-21.1
The West Division teams have been 5-4-1 and 5-5 OVER, average score 29.4-23.7 in this round only.
And lastly, this is interesting,...the lower seeded team if they won on the road and is now on the road in round 2 has been 0-5-1 ATS, 0-6 SU and 4-2 OVER....average score 17.5-36.
Teams with a worse record or equal record at home off a bye when their opponent played last week have been 5-0 in the playoffs winning by an average of 37.4-23.6
Also, teams off an away win playing on the road again have been poor as well. Laying it.
2) Calgary -5
Teams with a better record in the playoffs off a bye playing a team that played and won last week on the road have been 5-0 ATS, average score 36.2-16.4
Calgary until the last three games has been the dominant team in the CFL all season. I'm laying.
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Lines are out......
Calgary -5 Edmonton
Toronto -2' Saskatchewan
Play:
1) Toronto -2'
Teams with a worse record or equal record at home off a bye when their opponent played last week have been 5-0 in the playoffs winning by an average of 37.4-23.6
Also, teams off an away win playing on the road again have been poor as well. Laying it.
2) Calgary -5
Teams with a better record in the playoffs off a bye playing a team that played and won last week on the road have been 5-0 ATS, average score 36.2-16.4
Calgary until the last three games has been the dominant team in the CFL all season. I'm laying.
In CFL, last games of regular season are often meaningless or misleading especially if playoff positions have already been determined. Calgary doesn't need to win previous 3 games and might benefit from noncomplacency. However losing is a problem if it becomes a habit. We will find out soon in next game.
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In CFL, last games of regular season are often meaningless or misleading especially if playoff positions have already been determined. Calgary doesn't need to win previous 3 games and might benefit from noncomplacency. However losing is a problem if it becomes a habit. We will find out soon in next game.
the eskimos won 7 in a row to start the season. they had alot of injuries and lost 6 straight. they got healthy again and won five last games of the regular season. then beat winnipeg in west semi final
i think eskimos are best team in league and are healthyu again and i think they take out calgary
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the eskimos won 7 in a row to start the season. they had alot of injuries and lost 6 straight. they got healthy again and won five last games of the regular season. then beat winnipeg in west semi final
i think eskimos are best team in league and are healthyu again and i think they take out calgary
We shall see....differing opinions and opinions are what makes a market.
I am of the view that what happened recently typically is not an indicator of playoff success.
Teams with the worse record between they and their present opponent in the playoffs the past four games, at home and off a bye have been 5-2 ATS/SU with an average score of 32-20.7.....fits both the Argos and the Stamps this week.
Many handicappers go by what they see, I go by historical data, different way of discerning plays....whatever works for you.
in excess of 90% of handicappers go by what they see to decide who and what to bet on, so the use of historical data does not resonate with most. I works for me, but I don't expect it will resonate with the majority. There can be endless debate on a forum such as this on what the "best" way is.
The answer is the "best" way is to do what you resonate with and to allow others to use what they resonate with. For some to decide that because someone disagrees with their plays or the methods and that they are "wrong" is lunacy. One's profit/loss statement over time is the ultimate decider of whether they are right or wrong.
In a study by betfair of their 80,000 customer database, only 3,000 (or 3.75%) of their betters were consistent winners, which leads me to believe that the vast majority of betting methodologies are flawed.
Good fortune on your plays.
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We shall see....differing opinions and opinions are what makes a market.
I am of the view that what happened recently typically is not an indicator of playoff success.
Teams with the worse record between they and their present opponent in the playoffs the past four games, at home and off a bye have been 5-2 ATS/SU with an average score of 32-20.7.....fits both the Argos and the Stamps this week.
Many handicappers go by what they see, I go by historical data, different way of discerning plays....whatever works for you.
in excess of 90% of handicappers go by what they see to decide who and what to bet on, so the use of historical data does not resonate with most. I works for me, but I don't expect it will resonate with the majority. There can be endless debate on a forum such as this on what the "best" way is.
The answer is the "best" way is to do what you resonate with and to allow others to use what they resonate with. For some to decide that because someone disagrees with their plays or the methods and that they are "wrong" is lunacy. One's profit/loss statement over time is the ultimate decider of whether they are right or wrong.
In a study by betfair of their 80,000 customer database, only 3,000 (or 3.75%) of their betters were consistent winners, which leads me to believe that the vast majority of betting methodologies are flawed.
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