I don't think you can make HAM a road favorite after a 5 point win over the Argos and a 12 point loss to the Stamps
WIN is 7-0 ATS this year
50.5 because: both teams have been playing higher totals as of late, WIN is scoring more, and HAM is scoring and surrendering some points
WIN: 40,38,41,57,45,46,47
HAM: 40,38,36,70,60,52,69
MON -3 at CAL (53.5)
MTL has been favored in every game and -3 would mark the smallest margin and essentially a pickem rating if you take out the home field edge
The Als have played high scoring affairs and should dictate the tempo of this one, Stamps have also scored some points in their last 2 (albeit SASK and HAM)
MTL: 56,64,57,51,60,59,29 (edm train wreck game)
CAL: 44,66,41,43,40,52,80
We'll see what numbers we actually get
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Here are My Line guesses:
WIN -1 vs. HAM (50.5)
I don't think you can make HAM a road favorite after a 5 point win over the Argos and a 12 point loss to the Stamps
WIN is 7-0 ATS this year
50.5 because: both teams have been playing higher totals as of late, WIN is scoring more, and HAM is scoring and surrendering some points
WIN: 40,38,41,57,45,46,47
HAM: 40,38,36,70,60,52,69
MON -3 at CAL (53.5)
MTL has been favored in every game and -3 would mark the smallest margin and essentially a pickem rating if you take out the home field edge
The Als have played high scoring affairs and should dictate the tempo of this one, Stamps have also scored some points in their last 2 (albeit SASK and HAM)
Kind of like MTL to come out slinging here fully rested after the bye week
Both games went well over the total last season and although CGY has sputtered at times I think they are well positioned to engage in a shootout
MTL defense is good but not stifling and allows some yards, CGY is actually the stingier yardage defense but hasn't faced an offense as potent as MTL's yet this season
CGY offense is coming around also granted last time out was vs. SASK 45 points but the week before dropped 32 on HAM in a complete performance
Not a big fan of CGY's field goal kicking 63.6 percent ranks dead last and sometimes those missed FG can be momentum killers/changers
Early lean to MTL and the Over here
All comments/feedback/disagreements always appreciated
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Kind of like MTL to come out slinging here fully rested after the bye week
Both games went well over the total last season and although CGY has sputtered at times I think they are well positioned to engage in a shootout
MTL defense is good but not stifling and allows some yards, CGY is actually the stingier yardage defense but hasn't faced an offense as potent as MTL's yet this season
CGY offense is coming around also granted last time out was vs. SASK 45 points but the week before dropped 32 on HAM in a complete performance
Not a big fan of CGY's field goal kicking 63.6 percent ranks dead last and sometimes those missed FG can be momentum killers/changers
Early lean to MTL and the Over here
All comments/feedback/disagreements always appreciated
My other early lean is to the Bombers as a PK/small favorite at home
If you are looking for consistency WIN has had it this season, while EDM is looking like a flash in the pan, at least the last 3 weeks, the Bombers are for real here to stay on a foundation of defense
The offense has played better of late and that D is stifling
One positive they are consistent at least through 7 games
Hamilton is anything but consistent and just 1-2 on the road .... but they have won 4 of 5 ... a little concerning they couldn't put the Argos away, nor defend the Argos for that matter, but TOR is playing better too
I lean towards Winnipeg sticking around and finding a way to win this one at home in an important Division matchup for both teams with extra time to prepare should be an all out war
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My other early lean is to the Bombers as a PK/small favorite at home
If you are looking for consistency WIN has had it this season, while EDM is looking like a flash in the pan, at least the last 3 weeks, the Bombers are for real here to stay on a foundation of defense
The offense has played better of late and that D is stifling
One positive they are consistent at least through 7 games
Hamilton is anything but consistent and just 1-2 on the road .... but they have won 4 of 5 ... a little concerning they couldn't put the Argos away, nor defend the Argos for that matter, but TOR is playing better too
I lean towards Winnipeg sticking around and finding a way to win this one at home in an important Division matchup for both teams with extra time to prepare should be an all out war
I like the way you're thinking, and am definitely with ya on the Montreal over. I think it will be a shootout, but at 56 or so, I don't know if I can pull the trigger. I honestly think the matchups are really tough to call this week, and I will probably just settle for a prop bet or two. I keep waiting for Winnipeg to falter, but it has not happened yet.
GL this week.
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I like the way you're thinking, and am definitely with ya on the Montreal over. I think it will be a shootout, but at 56 or so, I don't know if I can pull the trigger. I honestly think the matchups are really tough to call this week, and I will probably just settle for a prop bet or two. I keep waiting for Winnipeg to falter, but it has not happened yet.
To me, football starts with running the ball and stopping the run. Montreal does both #1 in the league and adds a championship pedigree and knack for winning. The offense has been next to unstoppable when it wants to be. I have compared them often to the New England Patriots and I do think they are the more talented team, the better coached team, they have been the most consistent for the first 8 Weeks and will make the plays on offense down the stretch in winning time.
Home teams are 15-15 in the CFL this year which indicates that talent is winning out. I believe with 2 weeks to prepare for both teams the best coaching staff in the league will make this happen.
Calgary has been playing better and QB Burris is hitting his stride. The offense struggled for the first 4 weeks but is finding a rhythm each week. They were my West picks for the GC and nothing has changed. However I believe Montreal is still the superior franchise and gets the best of them here.
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Adding
Montreal +1 at Calgary 110/100
To me, football starts with running the ball and stopping the run. Montreal does both #1 in the league and adds a championship pedigree and knack for winning. The offense has been next to unstoppable when it wants to be. I have compared them often to the New England Patriots and I do think they are the more talented team, the better coached team, they have been the most consistent for the first 8 Weeks and will make the plays on offense down the stretch in winning time.
Home teams are 15-15 in the CFL this year which indicates that talent is winning out. I believe with 2 weeks to prepare for both teams the best coaching staff in the league will make this happen.
Calgary has been playing better and QB Burris is hitting his stride. The offense struggled for the first 4 weeks but is finding a rhythm each week. They were my West picks for the GC and nothing has changed. However I believe Montreal is still the superior franchise and gets the best of them here.
Don't see any value in the total (48.5) but the side is definitely a play for me. Hamilton is rounding into form and the offense is playing better. 2 Weeks to prepare should develop a sufficient game plan in an offensive league. Division meeting so these teams know each other's tendencies, plus Game Film from Week 1. Run the football and win the turnover battle and HAM should be looking at an outright win. +3.5 is also the better number here for a tight game.
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Adding
HAM +3.5 at WIN
Don't see any value in the total (48.5) but the side is definitely a play for me. Hamilton is rounding into form and the offense is playing better. 2 Weeks to prepare should develop a sufficient game plan in an offensive league. Division meeting so these teams know each other's tendencies, plus Game Film from Week 1. Run the football and win the turnover battle and HAM should be looking at an outright win. +3.5 is also the better number here for a tight game.
Just a note on Montreal. I obviously am an "outsider" given I have followed the league for 8 weeks while there are Covers Brothers on here that have followed for their whole lives.
However, many people are calling the Als "good" but not "great" this year. Keep in mind they are the 2 time defending champs and playing at the highest level, week in and week out, is impossible for any team, let alone 2 time defending champions.
The playoffs will get their juices flowing. Meanwhile, MTL will win more than they lose in the regular season because of sheer talent, an explosive quick strike offense, and coaching. Yes the defense might not be tight right now, but they don't have to be. They need to be in October and November. I truly believe that if MTL put together a complete 60 minute game there would be no CFL team within 14 points of them, based on my observations through the first 8 weeks.
While Calgary was my preseason pick out of the West, and has done nothing to change that, Montreal is still my Grey Cup pick and this should be an Outstanding finals preview here in Week 9 --- albeit without playoff intensity or emotion. Hopefully that doesn't hurt Montreal too much (i.e. they actually lose the game I expect them to win outright)
Just my thoughts.
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Just a note on Montreal. I obviously am an "outsider" given I have followed the league for 8 weeks while there are Covers Brothers on here that have followed for their whole lives.
However, many people are calling the Als "good" but not "great" this year. Keep in mind they are the 2 time defending champs and playing at the highest level, week in and week out, is impossible for any team, let alone 2 time defending champions.
The playoffs will get their juices flowing. Meanwhile, MTL will win more than they lose in the regular season because of sheer talent, an explosive quick strike offense, and coaching. Yes the defense might not be tight right now, but they don't have to be. They need to be in October and November. I truly believe that if MTL put together a complete 60 minute game there would be no CFL team within 14 points of them, based on my observations through the first 8 weeks.
While Calgary was my preseason pick out of the West, and has done nothing to change that, Montreal is still my Grey Cup pick and this should be an Outstanding finals preview here in Week 9 --- albeit without playoff intensity or emotion. Hopefully that doesn't hurt Montreal too much (i.e. they actually lose the game I expect them to win outright)
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Montreal +1 at Calgary 110/100
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