Posted:
#1
STD 27-17 ATS
Many books have not posted lines yet which I find strange.
Perhaps it is their way of encouraging other football action getting bettors to use their capital on other less lucrative games for them. There's no doubt in my mind that the CFL is the least profitable football for the sportsbooks, or maybe it's not profitable at all for them.
If one looks at the KOC CFL contest results, the betting masses are not killing it in the CFL, but the plays that have moved the money have consistently won this year, which to me means that big money has won and been smart money this season. Books would be much happier to see everyone betting NFL games and for this past week it is rumoured that it was one of the sportsbooks' top three weekends ever in American-style football. All is right in my world when the sportsbooks win as I am on the opposite side of the public in NFL, college and CFL picks.
Halfway through the season I realized that contrarian was not working in the CFL this season....we'll see if it continues. The Fabs of the world who blindly back their team every week irregardless of the line have done very well this year....it is a once in every 8-10 years type of season in the CFL.
1) Tiger Cats +3. The Tiger Cats have been the best team in the East the past month since June Jones took over. The Argos have revenge for a home loss to the Cats earlier in the season....doesn't matter to me....until the Cats start facing teams like the Bombers, Sasquatches and the Stamps I am on them. Nice thing about a team like this is the linemaker probably won't catch up to what has happened for quite awhile as they make lines based on season-long stats and power ratings.
2) Sasquatches ? If Harris is back I have the Redblacks as pik 'em though if I were to guess I would say the bookies would make them 3 point favorites. If their other backup starts I'd make them a three point dog. Lindley is a stiff and a go-against quarterback along the lines of Darren Durrant and Jonathan Jennings that bring the whole team down. The quarterback is everything in the CFL with their two downs and out rules. If you throw it to the wrong team or can't/won't throw the ball down the field YOU WILL LOSE unless you have a dominant defense like the Sasquatches or the Stamps.
Leaning Blue Bombers as well....and of course the Alouettes are unbackable, don't know if I would take them if they were +28 as that is about where I'd make the true strength of the teams' line at.
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