Posted:
#1
Last week 0-3 ATS, STD 27-20 ATS.
Some weeks/months/seasons are a struggle. Everything fell right last year, and this season has been a headache. I'm thankful that I'm up, and I'll leave it at that.
I'll do my lines versus the bookie's lines this week....my lines in brackets.
Bombers -13 (-10) Tiger Cats
Argos -1' (pik) Sasquatches
Lions -4' (-3) Redblacks
Als +7 (+9) Eskimos
We have four crossover games this week,....the trend has been for the West Division teams to cover....the last two seasons during the regular season they've been 47-23 ATS, 13-3 ATS as underdogs. That's pretty HUGE. Hindsight is 20/20...woulda been nice to have had a betting fairy tell me this would happening a couple of years ago.
And, as I am wont to do.....we'll discuss quarterbacks this week.
We have a possible matchup between Jennings and Lindlay which would be an all-time stinker and could set a CFL record for terrible decisions and pick-6s in a game. If Harris is back who I find to be a credible quarterback, I could consider the Redblacks, bucking the West-dominance short-term trend.
The Sasquatches? Kevin G. is nothing special on the road, but that is only thing missing from this team. Their defense is a force, but quarterbacks win on the road. Trent Richardson is a huge lumbering body who I'll say would not equate to Jerome Messam, we'll see.
Alouettes/Eskimos? They are both sooooo discombobulated that to handicap this game we'd have to figure out who is the lesser evil....and if it is the Eskimos they are have to be very much better than the Als on the opposition's territory. The Als have sunk to new lows of......"lowness"?.... and I feel that they will have to replace at least Durrant and their offensive staff for next season.
When a home dog in non-division games when both teams have lost at least 2 games in a row, the home dog has been 4-0 ATS.
When a non-divisional home dog has lost at least 4 games in a row they've been 7-1 ATS, 6-2 SU and 1-7 UNDER.
Indicators are for the Als.....who's got the gonads to take them?
Ran a query on away dogs after week 10 going back about 10 years. The best performing teams?
Tiger Cats 19-8 ATS
Redblacks 8-5
Stamps 11-7
Lions 18-12
The worst?
Sasquatches 9-22 ATS
Initial leans: Peggers/Tiger Cats OVER, Redblacks (if Harris starts) and Als (eek!)
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