Posted:
#1
BC -3 over HAM 110/110 Don't overrate Hamilton off of one performance over dreadful Saskatchewan. BC will provide a stiff test at home and if I learned anything last week is that small home favorites are a slightly better bet that small road dogs. Should be some points scored here as BC's pass defense is dreadful as is Hamilton. Hamilton proved that it can use its weapons effectively against bad defense last week against Saskatchewan. HAM avgs 29.9 (30) points per game and BC avg 26.2 (26). I expect the total right around there with BC on top. Which is why we are adding HAM/BC OVER 49.5 110/100 110/100I believe this total is too low that we have 4-5 points value at worst here. Last week was a ssn low point total across the league and I think we get back to high scoring affairs in this game.
TOR/WIN UNDER 46.5 110/100This is one game I do not think is going over the projected total. Maybe because two weak offensive teams are hooking up this will turn into a shootout because of turnovers but I doubt it. There could be a defensive touchdown and a special teams touchdown and we still might not go over. TOR is supposed to be a power run team and is averaging 75 rushing yards per game.
EDM +3.5 AT CALGARY 110/1003.5 points is a steal for a team that is rolling to start the season. Hopefully there is still some value to EDM yet still. Calgary has not looked solid the first 3 weeks and yet has found a way to win. EDM has looked impressive and is not turning the ball over (CGY is). CGY is struggling again in the kicking game and on special teams. Ricky Ray is playing better than Henry Burris at the moment. I think EDM takes this down to the wire.
MTL -11.5 over SAK 110/100Anthony Calvillo and his team seem to have a good grasp on history and a good sense of business about them. I do believe MTL will repeat as a 3-time champ and that is very easy to make that pick the way they are playing right now. They might roll 500 yards on this SAK defense that is in disarray. The SAK offense is not much better managing a whopping 3 points last week. The team stays on the road and you can't tell me that MTL isn't a little improved and SAK is much worse than when they met in Week 2. MTL dominated by 2 TD on the road and I don't see that margain shrinking here at home, providing some good value.
My last play I like this week is MTL/SAK OVER a lower number like 54. The teams poured it on late in the last meeting scoring early and often. My biggest concern is the MTL defense is good but not great, but plays with excitement and makes big plays and hits. The SAK offense has been abysmal and might not be able to keep up its end of the bargain. So I will hold off for a while on making this play.
Season to date:
7 wins 8 losses -180
Week 1: 2-1 +90
Week 2: 3-4 -140
Week 3: 2-3 -140
Sides: 3-5
Totals: 4-2
0
Like your coaching ratings TC---------------Dead on with the bottom 3. I like Reed I'd put him ahead of LaPolice 
Catchable ball By Geroy Simon near the goal line. 
looking for correlated events and it just wasn't in the cards today the numbers were just too low
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