First step is to look at the lines and then look for nice looking spots.
Thursday :
Edmonton
@Winnipeg
Line is Edmonton -1
My take without breaking down the stats or injuries.
Are you thinking why is Edmonton so low? If so here is why and I say why is Edmonton laying so many ?
Edmonton is undefeated and I absolutely loved them last week getting points to a 1-6 team. This week is much different.
THEY ARE LAYING POINTS to a team that can score!!!!! Winnipeg is a much better team then OTTAWA and yet this week Edmonton is favored?
I am on Winnipeg and taking the +1 right now.
They both have had some injuries but yet on the winnipeg side they still keep piling on points. Sure Edmonton is still undefeated so this play has that to overcome.
This is Edmontons 4th road game this year and in my opinion this might be the hardest contest to cover ( line included)
Week 1 @ BC. Looking over BC this year I have decreased my rating on the Lions. They only have covered against the weaker teams and they looked horrible last week. So this Edmonton cover looks impressive actually as it look right now I see BC as an average team. You might think that I am soley reacting to last week blow out loss and I can not deny that it does play apart, but look at this years sample of the games they have covered and that gives me a better foot print of the overall capability of the Lions squad.
Anyways back to the Eskimos I am refering back to this line compared to last week easy one this is going to be much harder to cover against a stronger team and Edmonton is laying more points on top of that.
Peg +1
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
First step is to look at the lines and then look for nice looking spots.
Thursday :
Edmonton
@Winnipeg
Line is Edmonton -1
My take without breaking down the stats or injuries.
Are you thinking why is Edmonton so low? If so here is why and I say why is Edmonton laying so many ?
Edmonton is undefeated and I absolutely loved them last week getting points to a 1-6 team. This week is much different.
THEY ARE LAYING POINTS to a team that can score!!!!! Winnipeg is a much better team then OTTAWA and yet this week Edmonton is favored?
I am on Winnipeg and taking the +1 right now.
They both have had some injuries but yet on the winnipeg side they still keep piling on points. Sure Edmonton is still undefeated so this play has that to overcome.
This is Edmontons 4th road game this year and in my opinion this might be the hardest contest to cover ( line included)
Week 1 @ BC. Looking over BC this year I have decreased my rating on the Lions. They only have covered against the weaker teams and they looked horrible last week. So this Edmonton cover looks impressive actually as it look right now I see BC as an average team. You might think that I am soley reacting to last week blow out loss and I can not deny that it does play apart, but look at this years sample of the games they have covered and that gives me a better foot print of the overall capability of the Lions squad.
Anyways back to the Eskimos I am refering back to this line compared to last week easy one this is going to be much harder to cover against a stronger team and Edmonton is laying more points on top of that.
I love crap games like this. Why ? Because one team is still riding on past positive vibrations. This is so wrong. Just because Ottawa took advantage of the weaker East they deserve to be favorites?
In the offseason they lost some of their explosive fire power on offense and it is hurting them right now.
In Ottawa's last 6 games the under has cashed 5 times. and to end 2016 and the first 2 games against the Stamps they scored 30 or more 8 times while falling short of 30 two times. since week 2 they have gotten to 30 one time and that was exactly 30. The other 5 times were in the 20's.
As Indigo has said to many and in his threads good roads teams need to be able to score points and this is not the trend for the Reblacks right now. They are not winning games and do not deserve to be favored in any contest right now.
Breaking down Hamilton is easy for me. This is about 3 things.
This is the best home line they have had all year, because this is the weakest team that they have played at home all year.
They are +4 and the teams that they have faced when getting this many at home this is by far the easiest line to cover.
I know the Ticats have been bad looking I have watched. I also know this is one of a small group of teams they can beat and this is a very sweet line to cover.
I am ignoring the bad play on the field as I think this bad play will be evident from both teams and I am on the genourous line and the home dog
TiCats +4
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Ottawa
@ Hamilton
Ottawa is -4 right now
I love crap games like this. Why ? Because one team is still riding on past positive vibrations. This is so wrong. Just because Ottawa took advantage of the weaker East they deserve to be favorites?
In the offseason they lost some of their explosive fire power on offense and it is hurting them right now.
In Ottawa's last 6 games the under has cashed 5 times. and to end 2016 and the first 2 games against the Stamps they scored 30 or more 8 times while falling short of 30 two times. since week 2 they have gotten to 30 one time and that was exactly 30. The other 5 times were in the 20's.
As Indigo has said to many and in his threads good roads teams need to be able to score points and this is not the trend for the Reblacks right now. They are not winning games and do not deserve to be favored in any contest right now.
Breaking down Hamilton is easy for me. This is about 3 things.
This is the best home line they have had all year, because this is the weakest team that they have played at home all year.
They are +4 and the teams that they have faced when getting this many at home this is by far the easiest line to cover.
I know the Ticats have been bad looking I have watched. I also know this is one of a small group of teams they can beat and this is a very sweet line to cover.
I am ignoring the bad play on the field as I think this bad play will be evident from both teams and I am on the genourous line and the home dog
Maybe last week was a fluke BC can't be that bad? When they step up in class this week I will have my money in my pocket.
My thought was fade Calgary to begin they and the first few weeks all was well. Now once again they are rolling over the bad teams and after what I saw from BC last week I am not ready to chance this one. Maybe Lulay is better at QB right now but Buono is switching back and forth trying not to give up on Jennings and that is why it is hard to play BC who is going to QB and how are they going to perform.
I am not rolling the dice on this one. If you want and need to play I would play Calgary to cover one of these halves and to to get a first half or second half cover.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Calgary
@BC
Maybe last week was a fluke BC can't be that bad? When they step up in class this week I will have my money in my pocket.
My thought was fade Calgary to begin they and the first few weeks all was well. Now once again they are rolling over the bad teams and after what I saw from BC last week I am not ready to chance this one. Maybe Lulay is better at QB right now but Buono is switching back and forth trying not to give up on Jennings and that is why it is hard to play BC who is going to QB and how are they going to perform.
I am not rolling the dice on this one. If you want and need to play I would play Calgary to cover one of these halves and to to get a first half or second half cover.
If the Als are dogs I'll be on them, and you know how the Argos do as home favorites.
Opposites in the early game manana,....I might have to pull out my voodoo hex on the Cats.
I am assuming the Argo's will be dogs. This maybe a terrible assumption and if so I will pass. The Al's are the strongest contender in the East. Yet at the same time they are 0-3 straight up on the road.
week 2 @ Edmonton 19-23
week 5 @ Ottawa 19-24
week 6 @ Winnipeg 40-41
I will getting a better feel for this game when the line appears.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:
If the Als are dogs I'll be on them, and you know how the Argos do as home favorites.
Opposites in the early game manana,....I might have to pull out my voodoo hex on the Cats.
I am assuming the Argo's will be dogs. This maybe a terrible assumption and if so I will pass. The Al's are the strongest contender in the East. Yet at the same time they are 0-3 straight up on the road.
week 2 @ Edmonton 19-23
week 5 @ Ottawa 19-24
week 6 @ Winnipeg 40-41
I will getting a better feel for this game when the line appears.
I think the points are going to be the difference in this one. Ottawa is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games but this is the second highest line they have had to face on the road. The highest was -6.5 to Sask last year and Ottawa lost that game. Ottawa has also covered their last 5 road games all as underdogs.
Ottawa has covered ALL 3 road games this year but have yet to win a road game.
I could be very wrong here but I still think Ottawa 's line is due to last years final's appearance. Ottawa has lost some of their fire power that made them special, but Hamilton has not shown a lot of anything so far.
Well see what happens I like the under 55.5 more
under BC/CAL 56.5
Any CFL total that closes at 54.5 or higher the under hits more than 60% of the time. Last nights game went over and tonight we have both games that qualify.
It is possible that all 3 games could go over but I am betting against that. I feel I am going to get atleast one win on the under tonight and win 2 units doing so.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
I am rolling with these so far tomorrow
Ticats +4
under 55.5 2 units
I think the points are going to be the difference in this one. Ottawa is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games but this is the second highest line they have had to face on the road. The highest was -6.5 to Sask last year and Ottawa lost that game. Ottawa has also covered their last 5 road games all as underdogs.
Ottawa has covered ALL 3 road games this year but have yet to win a road game.
I could be very wrong here but I still think Ottawa 's line is due to last years final's appearance. Ottawa has lost some of their fire power that made them special, but Hamilton has not shown a lot of anything so far.
Well see what happens I like the under 55.5 more
under BC/CAL 56.5
Any CFL total that closes at 54.5 or higher the under hits more than 60% of the time. Last nights game went over and tonight we have both games that qualify.
It is possible that all 3 games could go over but I am betting against that. I feel I am going to get atleast one win on the under tonight and win 2 units doing so.
got very lucky on the under and made money up 2 units on the week with a nice under so far on Calgary.
I might pass tomorrow unless the Argo's are the dog. I am feeling good finally things are heating up. last nights under would have been so sweet but that is in the past now.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
got very lucky on the under and made money up 2 units on the week with a nice under so far on Calgary.
I might pass tomorrow unless the Argo's are the dog. I am feeling good finally things are heating up. last nights under would have been so sweet but that is in the past now.
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